Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73ce9a4234638b3e133ee6c4ff360059cc8ae948b2caa82fb8f4ce072aed32f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melbourne Renegadesof Perth Scorchers, Melbourne Renegades
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Perth Scorchers | 65c | 6,706$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,378.96 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Melbourne Renegades | 43c | 6,227$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,518.54 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Perth Scorchers | 20c | 5,964$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.51 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.29per pick | 34cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Melbourne Renegades | 48c | 5,530$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.34 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Melbourne Renegades | 45c | 4,000$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,218.82 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Perth Scorchers | 47c | 3,578$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.57 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34ed…cfe3backed Melbourne Renegades | 52c | 3,474$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.4 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Melbourne Renegades | 54c | 3,154$1,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.71 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Perth Scorchers | 52c | 3,056$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.46 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Perth Scorchers | 48c | 1,660$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.22 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Perth Scorchers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Perth Scorchers | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Melbourne Renegades | 56c | 890.54$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.04 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Perth Scorchers | 63c | 886.12$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.11 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Perth Scorchers | 63c | 792.37$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.59 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Melbourne Renegades | 46c | 753.58$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.98 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed Perth Scorchers | 12c | 699.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…4823backed Melbourne Renegades | 37c | 450$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.5 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Perth Scorchers | 19c | 437.89$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.96 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Perth Scorchers | 66c | 389.17$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.65 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd6…8577backed Perth Scorchers | 60c | 363.18$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.77 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Perth Scorchers | 7c | 339.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…69cabacked Perth Scorchers | 23c | 270$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Perth Scorchers | 11c | 262$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Melbourne Renegades | 41c | 244.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Perth Scorchers | 24c | 241.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Melbourne Renegades | 35c | 239.49$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Melbourne Renegades | 55c | 188.34$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.3 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Perth Scorchers | 10c | 187.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2a56backed Perth Scorchers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x126c…b2b0backed Perth Scorchers | 25c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Perth Scorchers | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Perth Scorchers | 43c | 151.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Melbourne Renegades | 54c | 147.38$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.76 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Melbourne Renegades | 68c | 145.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…6c62backed Perth Scorchers | 28c | 136.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…ba41backed Perth Scorchers | 25c | 124.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…df67backed Perth Scorchers | 56c | 114.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…ce91backed Melbourne Renegades | 54c | 104.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Perth Scorchers | 22c | 102.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed Melbourne Renegades | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c56…daf8backed Melbourne Renegades | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Perth Scorchers | 50c | 96.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb5…92c3backed Melbourne Renegades | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Melbourne Renegades | 59c | 82.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Melbourne Renegades | 41c | 82.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.52 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9d…269dbacked Perth Scorchers | 23c | 69.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Melbourne Renegades | 32c | 66.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.15 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…a6f6backed Melbourne Renegades | 45c | 66.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Melbourne Renegades | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed Perth Scorchers | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Melbourne Renegades | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5d…0049backed Perth Scorchers | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…f083backed Melbourne Renegades | 36c | 59.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +72%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Melbourne Renegades | 49c | 57.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed Melbourne Renegades | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Melbourne Renegades | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…cd78backed Perth Scorchers | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d1…6d42backed Melbourne Renegades | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…5a08backed Melbourne Renegades | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Melbourne Renegades | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…9246backed Melbourne Renegades | 36c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +174.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Perth Scorchers | 53c | 37.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…5688backed Melbourne Renegades | 38c | 36.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Perth Scorchers | 58c | 34.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Perth Scorchers | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed Melbourne Renegades | 37c | 29.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Perth Scorchers | 46c | 24.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Melbourne Renegades | 68c | 21.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 65cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…0c51backed Perth Scorchers | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf618…ba85backed Melbourne Renegades | 78c | 17.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.