Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Brisbane Heat vs Sydney Thunder (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6febf32aead0fd410fa6f1350694b40d2c3d2e7a16c506842bde0059b910458b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brisbane Heatof Brisbane Heat, Sydney Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Brisbane Heat | 63c | 15,894$9,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.94 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Sydney Thunder | 18c | 9,289$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.85 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sydney Thunder | 36c | 8,920$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Sydney Thunder | 31c | 3,958$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.36 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Sydney Thunder | 37c | 3,482$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.28 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Sydney Thunder | 37c | 3,050$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.95 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Sydney Thunder | 16c | 2,871$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.35 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb207…c751backed Sydney Thunder | 14c | 2,402$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Brisbane Heat | 63c | 2,196$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.07 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +209.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Brisbane Heat | 66c | 2,100$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Sydney Thunder | 36c | 1,789$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.23 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Sydney Thunder | 42c | 1,620$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.67 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sydney Thunder | 34c | 1,189$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.39 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Sydney Thunder | 20c | 1,112$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Brisbane Heat | 54c | 1,017$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.17 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Sydney Thunder | 47c | 884.48$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.59 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Sydney Thunder | 35c | 777.63$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Brisbane Heat | 61c | 695.35$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.94 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Brisbane Heat | 64c | 677.8$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.93 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Sydney Thunder | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086f…8bc3backed Sydney Thunder | 35c | 508$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Sydney Thunder | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Brisbane Heat | 59c | 490.1$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.86 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Brisbane Heat | 57c | 400$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Brisbane Heat | 78c | 374.22$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Brisbane Heat | 61c | 360.48$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c87…98b1backed Sydney Thunder | 8c | 350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 107 | 11.2%12 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Sydney Thunder | 35c | 305$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Sydney Thunder | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Brisbane Heat | 67c | 255.04$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.96 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Brisbane Heat | 72c | 244.33$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Sydney Thunder | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Brisbane Heat | 77c | 224.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Sydney Thunder | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Sydney Thunder | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…1cc3backed Sydney Thunder | 16c | 184.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3295…ec4abacked Brisbane Heat | 71c | 138.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0d…ca21backed Sydney Thunder | 37c | 134.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 203 | 42.4%86 W · 117 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe35c…221fbacked Sydney Thunder | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Brisbane Heat | 64c | 127.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.93 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Brisbane Heat | 51c | 115.61$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Sydney Thunder | 41c | 110.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Sydney Thunder | 24c | 105.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Sydney Thunder | 37c | 102.48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Brisbane Heat | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed Brisbane Heat | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa03a…3778backed Sydney Thunder | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Sydney Thunder | 54c | 91.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a9…c210backed Sydney Thunder | 50c | 90.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Brisbane Heat | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd4…a6f6backed Sydney Thunder | 13c | 80$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…1819backed Sydney Thunder | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…c2d3backed Brisbane Heat | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Sydney Thunder | 35c | 49.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Sydney Thunder | 31c | 48.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Sydney Thunder | 37c | 42.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Sydney Thunder | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Sydney Thunder | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…b529backed Sydney Thunder | 38c | 35.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Brisbane Heat | 70c | 28.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…9fffbacked Brisbane Heat | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60f…611ebacked Brisbane Heat | 57c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…e10ebacked Brisbane Heat | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.