Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0531ee2b4c7ae86201d91b9437cb67b432336b329b1e3d009d55aa4a2768e194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Under | 50c | 114,877$57,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,359.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 50c | 55,000$27,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,500 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 17,190$8,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,594.97 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 50c | 15,344$7,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,640.28 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 13,704$6,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,425.95 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 9,999$5,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,802.88 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 52c | 9,999$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.57 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Over | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 5,270$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.55 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Under | 48c | 3,697$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.46 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Over | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Under | 2c | 2,100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…9c1ebacked Under | 2c | 1,800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Under | 49c | 1,189$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.81 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…70d4backed Over | 51c | 1,025$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.73 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 87 | 64.4%56 W · 31 L | +10.2wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Under | 49c | 620$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.8 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…dc3dbacked Over | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 51c | 299.98$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Under | 49c | 239$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 228 | 54.8%125 W · 103 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 52c | 196.36$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 333 | 40.8%136 W · 197 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Over | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 51c | 189.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.78 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…c85dbacked Over | 78c | 165$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed Under | 48c | 143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +10.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +15.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 256 | 59.4%152 W · 104 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Under | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 110 | 60%66 W · 44 L | +13.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…49b7backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 52c | 90.38$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.38 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 50c | 82.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf37c…3c74backed Under | 30c | 81.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 81.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +11.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 128 | 58.6%75 W · 53 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 20c | 59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 381 | 51.4%196 W · 185 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c06…84a9backed Over | 52c | 57.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 50c | 55.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked Over | 52c | 43.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Over | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | +11.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 126 | 57.9%73 W · 53 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b82…2d2abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Under | 49c | 39.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed Under | 48c | 37.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…b859backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Over | 52c | 37.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f21…dc40backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…f5c1backed Over | 49c | 36.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedf…1483backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 53c | 29.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf187…b390backed Over | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -5.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -69%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Over | 51c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaf…7556backed Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.