Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Melbourne Stars vs Sydney Sixers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f2d610bbc8ca5f0da8902cbbf3d112275f5ff5f3e08cf5b582d612ecbe67e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sydney Sixersof Melbourne Stars, Sydney Sixers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Melbourne Stars | 37c | 12,805$4,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,742.87 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…fdc0backed Melbourne Stars | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Sydney Sixers | 53c | 6,814$3,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.96 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Sydney Sixers | 80c | 6,345$5,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.7 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8e…b232backed Melbourne Stars | 15c | 5,602$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.06 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.29per pick | 34cpaid | -90.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Sydney Sixers | 62c | 5,518$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.09 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Sydney Sixers | 53c | 2,630$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.49 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Melbourne Stars | 53c | 2,318$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.47 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Sydney Sixers | 54c | 2,222$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.39 | 148 | 52%77 W · 71 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Melbourne Stars | 40c | 2,182$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.45 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…b1c5backed Melbourne Stars | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.99 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Sydney Sixers | 52c | 1,232$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.16 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Melbourne Stars | 33c | 1,055$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.3 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Melbourne Stars | 52c | 980$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Melbourne Stars | 26c | 922.06$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Melbourne Stars | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Sydney Sixers | 58c | 804.82$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.03 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed Melbourne Stars | 11c | 799.98$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…2134backed Sydney Sixers | 59c | 787.63$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.69 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…993dbacked Sydney Sixers | 73c | 747.24$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Sydney Sixers | 47c | 681.52$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.39 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa995…3d50backed Melbourne Stars | 49c | 650.78$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.78 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Melbourne Stars | 5c | 505.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Sydney Sixers | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Sydney Sixers | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…f872backed Sydney Sixers | 53c | 444.03$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a5…0306backed Melbourne Stars | 54c | 440$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.7 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Melbourne Stars | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Melbourne Stars | 56c | 391.86$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Melbourne Stars | 48c | 377.2$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.62 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Sydney Sixers | 65c | 357$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.25 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0674…d6c1backed Melbourne Stars | 5c | 300$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb0…27f8backed Melbourne Stars | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Melbourne Stars | 9c | 299.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Sydney Sixers | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5830…f928backed Melbourne Stars | 6c | 263.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Melbourne Stars | 4c | 245.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf062…7eb9backed Melbourne Stars | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Sydney Sixers | 52c | 219.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…df67backed Melbourne Stars | 23c | 174.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Sydney Sixers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…a36dbacked Melbourne Stars | 13c | 157.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sydney Sixers | 44c | 145$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Melbourne Stars | 54c | 140$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.6 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Melbourne Stars | 11c | 138.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Melbourne Stars | 12c | 120.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Melbourne Stars | 21c | 118.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Melbourne Stars | 12c | 108.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d8…11babacked Melbourne Stars | 19c | 101.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 126 | 34.1%43 W · 83 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa662…4823backed Melbourne Stars | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Melbourne Stars | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6315…5a08backed Melbourne Stars | 22c | 91.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…8a3abacked Melbourne Stars | 29c | 87.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Sydney Sixers | 59c | 86.56$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.52 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…2b5fbacked Melbourne Stars | 22c | 85.43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Melbourne Stars | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0f…c0c8backed Sydney Sixers | 59c | 81.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Melbourne Stars | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30cf…7a72backed Melbourne Stars | 28c | 78.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…cd78backed Melbourne Stars | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Melbourne Stars | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…1634backed Melbourne Stars | 41c | 61.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Sydney Sixers | 60c | 60.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec95…156dbacked Melbourne Stars | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…3003backed Sydney Sixers | 66c | 56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Sydney Sixers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed Melbourne Stars | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…c2d3backed Melbourne Stars | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24fa…585cbacked Melbourne Stars | 56c | 46.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Melbourne Stars | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf00…6767backed Sydney Sixers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4582…3134backed Melbourne Stars | 30c | 39.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…5688backed Melbourne Stars | 38c | 39.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Melbourne Stars | 57c | 35.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…4d00backed Sydney Sixers | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x232c…12d7backed Melbourne Stars | 54c | 25.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd016…202dbacked Sydney Sixers | 79c | 22.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Sydney Sixers | 51c | 20.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.