Cricket · resolved market
Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa09582f2518bbc1f86e6deefe575c2d268885ca9b248403f6736dfca937188aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Perth Scorchersof Hobart Hurricanes, Perth Scorchers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,587
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $152,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,587 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 2c | 31,466$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.05 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hobart Hurricanes | 19c | 12,045$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.63 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Hobart Hurricanes | 43c | 8,237$3,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.89 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Perth Scorchers | 78c | 4,676$3,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.68 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…8a30backed Hobart Hurricanes | 5c | 4,513$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.12 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Hobart Hurricanes | 0c | 3,950$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Perth Scorchers | 49c | 2,625$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,338.98 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Perth Scorchers | 67c | 2,218$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.48 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…5804backed Hobart Hurricanes | 5c | 2,036$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…dd64backed Hobart Hurricanes | 28c | 2,015$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.2 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…e6c3backed Hobart Hurricanes | 28c | 1,650$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.52 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc8…f45bbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 17c | 1,598$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa08a…de5bbacked Perth Scorchers | 49c | 1,576$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4f…9339backed Hobart Hurricanes | 51c | 1,301$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hobart Hurricanes | 50c | 1,291$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.94 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Perth Scorchers | 55c | 1,268$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.74 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Perth Scorchers | 61c | 1,125$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.12 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Perth Scorchers | 51c | 1,073$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…dd30backed Hobart Hurricanes | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Perth Scorchers | 54c | 987.13$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.73 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hobart Hurricanes | 19c | 706.96$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.44 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 3c | 701.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 7c | 585.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Hobart Hurricanes | 55c | 549.39$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Hobart Hurricanes | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 42c | 428.28$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.24 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…6951backed Hobart Hurricanes | 10c | 422.13$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Hobart Hurricanes | 10c | 292.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Perth Scorchers | 55c | 290$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Hobart Hurricanes | 47c | 287.83$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 43cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Perth Scorchers | 52c | 286.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c41ebacked Hobart Hurricanes | 40c | 285.62$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4e13backed Hobart Hurricanes | 5c | 277.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…99e4backed Hobart Hurricanes | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 7c | 274.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 111 | 6.3%7 W · 104 L | -18.9wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Hobart Hurricanes | 34c | 209.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.2 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…bac8backed Perth Scorchers | 53c | 203.77$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54fd…4ac3backed Hobart Hurricanes | 51c | 199.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x677e…5072backed Perth Scorchers | 51c | 197.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.92 | 199 | 56.3%112 W · 87 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Perth Scorchers | 52c | 192.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hobart Hurricanes | 22c | 123.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…fcc4backed Hobart Hurricanes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…cd27backed Hobart Hurricanes | 29c | 103.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Perth Scorchers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…2fe4backed Hobart Hurricanes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Hobart Hurricanes | 16c | 99.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 48c | 91.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…8e1dbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 17c | 85.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x999f…1312backed Hobart Hurricanes | 15c | 83.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa060…0747backed Hobart Hurricanes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Perth Scorchers | 48c | 62.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Hobart Hurricanes | 38c | 61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Perth Scorchers | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…064ebacked Hobart Hurricanes | 40c | 48.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Perth Scorchers | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d09…1167backed Perth Scorchers | 50c | 29.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Perth Scorchers | 50c | 26.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.