TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Legacyof Legacy, TYLOO
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,611
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,611 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29b5…cc6cbacked TYLOO51c500$254 inLost-$2545,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Legacy49c400$196 inWon+$20489248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Legacy51c196.08$100 inWon+$96.0816451.2%84 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed TYLOO49c150$74 inLost-$73.52,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f86…404ebacked Legacy50c134.31$67 inWon+$66.896155.7%34 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed TYLOO50c131.96$66 inLost-$65.9888242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…df09backed Legacy50c100$50 inWon+$506550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Legacy50c40$20 inWon+$203265.6%21 W · 11 L+5.4wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.3%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed TYLOO49c26.53$13 inLost-$134856.3%27 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.