CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x660e6206ac03fddcf1615eca40bc8be51b96ad57d1902a7ae3a989814ba9db9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x824f…b105backed Over | 45c | 1,114$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 55c | 1,111$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.94 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Over | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.38 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +17.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 42c | 901.52$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.64 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Under | 57c | 706.41$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.69 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Under | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 56c | 499.95$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.98 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 58c | 341$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.22 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Under | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b75…6bb0backed Over | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Over | 31c | 292$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 66c | 289.5$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Under | 58c | 274.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.79 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 44c | 259.09$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Under | 56c | 200$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de0…7429backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed Under | 56c | 159.09$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Over | 43c | 109.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 40c | 109.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 57c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…eea7backed Under | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 60c | 92.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Over | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…89ebbacked Under | 65c | 64.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 45c | 55.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…8d8abacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…62c2backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 55c | 47.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0762…30e7backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 42.2%76 W · 104 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Over | 44c | 43.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 57c | 43.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…8af5backed Under | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 58c | 34.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a17…a9e3backed Under | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…3797backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked Under | 58c | 17.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-6.5) vs TYLOO (+6.5)TYLOO won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)Legacy won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)Legacy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.