NBA · resolved market

Spread: Raptors (-3.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64875a89a789b8bcd6d948a953d208c6962669d545741ff7804f23af119e0f6a

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Netsof Raptors, Nets
Resolved: Dec 21, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $146,744
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $146,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,744 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Raptors	49c	80,909$39,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39,791.72	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0b4…fed6backed Nets	50c	43,911$21,955 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21,955.43	200	55%110 W · 90 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Nets	51c	24,311$12,398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,912.21	726	48.3%351 W · 375 L	+30.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+11%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Raptors	50c	20,000$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	1,451	49.7%721 W · 730 L	+18.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Nets	52c	20,000$10,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,700	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Nets	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,800	513	50.1%257 W · 256 L	+6.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors	49c	10,869$5,294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,293.56	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Nets	50c	7,394$3,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,669.47	747	48.5%362 W · 385 L	+8.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Raptors	50c	4,474$2,237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,237	158	55.7%88 W · 70 L	-9.8wins	-0.06per pick	62cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Nets	50c	4,032$2,016 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,016	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Nets	51c	4,000$2,040 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,960	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Raptors	48c	3,772$1,826 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,826.13	1,139	48.3%550 W · 589 L	+3.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xacc5…c31fbacked Nets	51c	3,000$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,470	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Raptors	50c	3,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Raptors	51c	2,679$1,369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,369.5	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Nets	50c	2,409$1,216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,192.55	1,374	50.1%689 W · 685 L	+34.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Nets	52c	1,995$1,037 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$957.6	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Raptors	50c	1,973$988 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$988.45	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Raptors	50c	1,500$750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$750	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Raptors	25c	1,267$323 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.55	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Nets	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	218	52.8%115 W · 103 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd529…f0d4backed Nets	50c	726$363 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$363	1,085	63.6%690 W · 395 L	+86.7wins	+0.08per pick	56cpaid	+13%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x881b…3b47backed Raptors	49c	614.14$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.93	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Nets	51c	612.98$313 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.36	363	51.2%186 W · 177 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d4b…a250backed Raptors	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	344	47.4%163 W · 181 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Nets	50c	587$296 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.8	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Nets	51c	565.51$288 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.51	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca21…b07cbacked Raptors	51c	500$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	224	58.9%132 W · 92 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nets	51c	434$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.66	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x891d…dd26backed Nets	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	83	51.8%43 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Raptors	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Raptors	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	-5.1wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Raptors	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Nets	52c	380$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.4	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Nets	47c	378.69$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$201.24	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Raptors	50c	364$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Raptors	49c	349.13$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.66	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked Nets	51c	333.33$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.33	158	57%90 W · 68 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0e9…5112backed Raptors	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	217	49.3%107 W · 110 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed Raptors	49c	252$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.73	500	47.2%236 W · 264 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Nets	51c	205$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.25	65	60%39 W · 26 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Raptors	50c	200$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	293	46.4%136 W · 157 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Raptors	50c	196.07$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.04	189	54.5%103 W · 86 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Nets	52c	195$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.6	786	52.4%412 W · 374 L	+14.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0e2…8e9ebacked Nets	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	+8.6wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b45…077ebacked Raptors	50c	178.67$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.63	95	37.9%36 W · 59 L	-13.6wins	-0.14per pick	52cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nets	46c	167.31$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Raptors	51c	166.73$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.03	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Raptors	50c	166.06$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.03	356	51.1%182 W · 174 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Raptors	53c	152.11$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	309	45.3%140 W · 169 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x417e…15e5backed Raptors	50c	150$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccb8…33cdbacked Raptors	53c	149.52$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.25	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-4.6wins	-0.33per pick	47cpaid	-72.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x8f17…2332backed Raptors	51c	117.65$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8776…1ca3backed Nets	52c	115.38$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55.38	63	36.5%23 W · 40 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Raptors	50c	112.03$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.48	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Nets	48c	109.35$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.35	807	44.1%356 W · 451 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Raptors	49c	102.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	327	50.2%164 W · 163 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Raptors	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	201	43.3%87 W · 114 L	-12.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd420…df90backed Raptors	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	514	51.9%267 W · 247 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Raptors	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	157	52.2%82 W · 75 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Nets	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x265b…74dfbacked Raptors	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	53	45.3%24 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87b8…29dcbacked Raptors	48c	99.98$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.99	35	34.3%12 W · 23 L	-4.5wins	-0.13per pick	47cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Nets	51c	98.46$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.25	522	42.7%223 W · 299 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Nets	52c	96.15$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.15	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Raptors	49c	89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.61	1,715	44.5%764 W · 951 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6abe…2205backed Raptors	52c	86.54$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36f4…4dafbacked Nets	53c	79$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.05	35	62.9%22 W · 13 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a31…152cbacked Nets	51c	78.43$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.43	484	51.2%248 W · 236 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a5…4024backed Raptors	51c	68.63$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Raptors	52c	67.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	624	50%312 W · 312 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Nets	52c	67.31$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.31	377	55.7%210 W · 167 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Raptors	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	68	45.6%31 W · 37 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcba…d962backed Raptors	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	85	43.5%37 W · 48 L	-7.9wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xed7d…5852backed Raptors	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	37.5%21 W · 35 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+23%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12af…6124backed Raptors	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	65	56.9%37 W · 28 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe56e…0bb4backed Nets	51c	58.82$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.82	242	48.3%117 W · 125 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0c7…5861backed Raptors	51c	58.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	516	51.2%264 W · 252 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d23…b5a2backed Raptors	50c	58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	89	46.1%41 W · 48 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Raptors	50c	56$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	905	60.8%550 W · 355 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Nets	50c	55$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.65	185	49.2%91 W · 94 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Raptors	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	249	55%137 W · 112 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x631e…a121backed Raptors	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.9wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Raptors	49c	45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.85	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9663…0b2fbacked Raptors	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcda…4f1dbacked Raptors	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e41…67b8backed Raptors	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.1wins	-0.36per pick	52cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5093…dee4backed Raptors	49c	39.99$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb82…c668backed Raptors	51c	39.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-2.9wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Raptors	52c	38.46$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	55cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe44a…c4f8backed Nets	52c	38.04$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.26	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b01…8f47backed Raptors	44c	35.47$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.68	33	42.4%14 W · 19 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e24…b31fbacked Nets	58c	34.48$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.48	143	57.3%82 W · 61 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x72e4…0369backed Raptors	50c	30.76$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.38	64	45.3%29 W · 35 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0e…4049backed Raptors	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	242	53.3%129 W · 113 L	+5.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4254…b8d2backed Nets	52c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	51	60.8%31 W · 20 L	+5.0wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Raptors	50c	28$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	195	43.1%84 W · 111 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x829f…ccfdbacked Raptors	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	173	53.8%93 W · 80 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca8…ddddbacked Raptors	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	278	46.8%130 W · 148 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Raptors	50c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	126	50.8%64 W · 62 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Raptors (-3.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event