WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x806bec7185ccca69a40a991b4f675777c578fdb4bff4de29317634f249cedf91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 48c | 14,768$7,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,029.9 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 56c | 2,792$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.58 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 44c | 2,722$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.07 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 2,464$1,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.8 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 64c | 1,856$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.85 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Under | 55c | 1,843$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.53 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,160$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.52 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Under | 66c | 1,029$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.96 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…9c3cbacked Over | 55c | 961.78$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 42c | 961.78$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.31 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 883.12$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.75 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Under | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 54c | 791.2$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.74 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 64c | 764.6$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.1 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 527.25$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.92 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Over | 50c | 492.84$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Over | 55c | 290$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Under | 73c | 220.29$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 17c | 182$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 15c | 182$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 57c | 180.01$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.81 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 53c | 164.69$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 55c | 160.82$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 46c | 157.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.65 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 53c | 154$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 63c | 137.6$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Under | 56c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…ff90backed Over | 56c | 98.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 55c | 95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Over | 15c | 88.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 16c | 85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 53c | 73.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 15c | 67.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b7…3852backed Under | 71c | 62.52$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 53c | 60.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 44c | 53.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 65c | 49.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 65c | 46.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…6b7cbacked Over | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265b…74dfbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Over | 31c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 64c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 55c | 32.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Over | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 30.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 44c | 28.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 64c | 26.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago SkyAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.