WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb11ddee091a02469c5dc29255ba355129532c860749acdecb83fa2e5f8097142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof Atlanta Dream, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 12,395$5,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,941.13 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 7,022$3,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,931.62 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 42cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 7,000$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.99 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 4,643$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 3,128$1,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,647.16 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 3,125$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 1,008$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.27 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 942.75$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.88 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 43c | 700$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4504…9c3cbacked Chicago Sky | 71c | 551.73$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 170$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 111 | 56.8%63 W · 48 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Dream | 28c | 138.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 130.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 108.42$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Chicago Sky | 45c | 89.78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…7823backed Atlanta Dream | 57c | 65.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -7.1wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Dream | 35c | 60.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Dream | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 51.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Dream | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 45.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Atlanta Dream | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…b57abacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Atlanta Dream | 56c | 32.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 31.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago SkyAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.