WNBA · resolved market
Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf526fe2f039c1530fd69f23bcbb1145dc56b16631cfe385c9fbb4f70a8824b0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 4,675$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,468.27 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed Over | 53c | 3,205$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 53c | 3,128$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,657.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Under | 48c | 2,490$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.58 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Over | 50c | 1,628$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 47c | 720$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.6 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 688.45$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…8588backed Over | 53c | 469.23$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 52c | 359$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 48c | 347.17$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.98 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Over | 53c | 307.03$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 294.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 47c | 213$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.89 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 48c | 207.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.03 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 52c | 156.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.23 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 127.62$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 48c | 83.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 47c | 59.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 47c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 46c | 45.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 48c | 39.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb441…f757backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 36.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 53c | 30.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 29.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8a…1cb9backed Over | 52c | 26.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 47c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago SkyAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)Atlanta Dream won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.