TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago Skyof Atlanta Dream, Chicago Sky
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,070
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$151,033

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,070 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1117…3532backed Chicago Sky49c65,000$31,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,249.9313950.4%70 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Atlanta Dream56c45,030$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0003745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Chicago Sky44c15,940$7,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,871.022365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Atlanta Dream51c14,036$7,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,158.367648.7%37 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Chicago Sky49c12,488$6,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,368.635354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Atlanta Dream51c9,804$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Atlanta Dream51c9,701$4,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.6613048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Atlanta Dream52c8,724$4,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,496.7832049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Atlanta Dream70c8,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9916152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Dream52c7,532$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.6436154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky44c7,207$3,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,050.878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Chicago Sky48c7,000$3,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.9827449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream51c5,451$2,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,778.8883748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Atlanta Dream51c5,094$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.035050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Atlanta Dream52c3,846$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9211540%46 W · 69 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago Sky30c3,814$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.8615346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Atlanta Dream51c3,627$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8504847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago Sky49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.996154.1%33 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Chicago Sky30c2,317$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.0110858.3%63 W · 45 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Chicago Sky43c2,104$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Chicago Sky46c2,000$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+101.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream53c1,887$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream51c1,760$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.671,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Atlanta Dream1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1570%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky45c1,305$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.8189349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Chicago Sky48c1,200$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62414060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Atlanta Dream51c980$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.84951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a6…cfefbacked Atlanta Dream51c923.57$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.02425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Atlanta Dream51c900$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.33per pick42cpaid-83.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky45c874.44$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.8240550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Chicago Sky49c816.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.3264152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Atlanta Dream52c800$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41411349.6%56 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Atlanta Dream51c799.99$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4081353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Chicago Sky30c606.64$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.874148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlanta Dream51c555.78$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4538645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Atlanta Dream51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Chicago Sky49c440.82$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.822958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca4…aa92backed Atlanta Dream52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Chicago Sky45c374.04$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.7210445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Chicago Sky41c370.91$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.9212355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Atlanta Dream54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream42c295.47$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.241,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Atlanta Dream51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15013143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Chicago Sky31c288.84$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.092263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Atlanta Dream51c250$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.57546.7%35 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Sky43c244$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.0821150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Chicago Sky30c235$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.51861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca9…02e1backed Atlanta Dream51c205.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Dream24c195$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2520947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb076…2f98backed Atlanta Dream52c180$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.31650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Sky78c177.07$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.0637650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago Sky55c166.27$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8285158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd5e8…fafcbacked Atlanta Dream51c153.96$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-60%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Atlanta Dream51c150.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776341.3%26 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Atlanta Dream51c150.88$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9534448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cd…fbebbacked Atlanta Dream53c150.87$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9613346.6%62 W · 71 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Atlanta Dream51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.59254.3%50 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1950…1bf4backed Atlanta Dream52c135.78$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6113850.7%70 W · 68 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Chicago Sky39c130$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.74852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Atlanta Dream52c123.87$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1216450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Chicago Sky30c115.2$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.642441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Atlanta Dream51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…3691backed Atlanta Dream51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Atlanta Dream51c98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.981428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-44.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Atlanta Dream51c97.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.822330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Dream29c97.5$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2812343.1%53 W · 70 L-11.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xae9f…4967backed Chicago Sky50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Atlanta Dream28c85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.212948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream65c77.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Atlanta Dream19c76.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.482951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed Atlanta Dream52c76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.521526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream45c76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.261042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Dream29c69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.867647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Atlanta Dream41c66.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.472751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Chicago Sky71c64.87$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1124852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Atlanta Dream51c64.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Atlanta Dream51c56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.566835.3%24 W · 44 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba17…5c67backed Chicago Sky29c53.75$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9382…4ee3backed Atlanta Dream51c52.94$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9f…ff90backed Atlanta Dream51c52.24$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8428…b41fbacked Atlanta Dream63c50.05$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.665457.4%31 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Chicago Sky49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.528447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Atlanta Dream52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaec…eaafbacked Atlanta Dream52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…3340backed Atlanta Dream30c41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Atlanta Dream51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.410543.8%46 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb2…82e5backed Atlanta Dream52c39.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Atlanta Dream51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.897759.7%46 W · 31 L+9.0wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xff68…8379backed Atlanta Dream52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Atlanta Dream51c36.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.863644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Chicago Sky42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.719355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Chicago Sky51c34.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0318746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Chicago Sky45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.510349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Chicago Sky49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.323644.9%106 W · 130 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Chicago Sky47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.813745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Chicago Sky70c26.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.892951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Atlanta Dream42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.528140.6%114 W · 167 L-1.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Atlanta Dream63c23.48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7610935.8%39 W · 70 L-13.8wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream51c21.58$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.