WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c7c5aca13e0d9836833c48250a6692ee65a1ee3ad304a6e55816286e2de4fa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Dreamof Atlanta Dream, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Chicago Sky | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.77 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream | 41c | 2,203$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.54 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream | 61c | 1,726$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.79 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Chicago Sky | 38c | 1,446$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.07 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Atlanta Dream | 42c | 1,014$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.07 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Atlanta Dream | 62c | 266.13$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Chicago Sky | 62c | 252.42$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 42c | 199.36$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.08 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Atlanta Dream | 55c | 182.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Atlanta Dream | 59c | 170$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Atlanta Dream | 59c | 169.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.58 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 166.2$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.35 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 40c | 151.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Chicago Sky | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream | 46c | 121$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Chicago Sky | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Atlanta Dream | 61c | 114$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Chicago Sky | 63c | 111.92$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…e8bcbacked Atlanta Dream | 60c | 100.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Chicago Sky | 64c | 97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 49c | 76.53$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…ff90backed Atlanta Dream | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Atlanta Dream | 42c | 70.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 69.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Atlanta Dream | 61c | 65.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream | 55c | 60.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Atlanta Dream | 35c | 56.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.29 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Atlanta Dream | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Atlanta Dream | 38c | 55.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Atlanta Dream | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Atlanta Dream | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Chicago Sky | 60c | 47.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago Sky | 45c | 47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x65af…df77backed Atlanta Dream | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.87 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Dream | 36c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Chicago Sky | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Chicago Sky | 43c | 27.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…650abacked Atlanta Dream | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Chicago Sky | 59c | 23.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d92…7c6abacked Chicago Sky | 74c | 13.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-6.5)this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago SkyAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 163.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 164.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.