NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85712b5220d2691aa345e38323be039678a2219f86d0dda17cf64ebfaec600eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 17,443$8,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,864.21 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…eeafbacked Under | 47c | 7,164$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,796.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Over | 53c | 5,512$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 50c | 5,080$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,540 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf51…4a30backed Under | 51c | 4,915$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.37 | 767 | 46.4%356 W · 411 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda4…b823backed Under | 50c | 4,804$2,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Under | 49c | 4,776$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435.62 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Under | 50c | 3,435$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,717.35 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under | 52c | 1,319$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.85 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 507 | 54.2%275 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Under | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.06 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 988$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 51c | 960$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.2 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 910.1$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.95 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 46c | 452.16$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.07 | 199 | 58.3%116 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Over | 51c | 414$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 47c | 388.93$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.8 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 45c | 385$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 54c | 322.65$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.66 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 217 | 49.3%107 W · 110 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Over | 4c | 251.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1,390 | 26%361 W · 1,029 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…70e2backed Over | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…b48bbacked Under | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…718ebacked Over | 54c | 199.92$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.7 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…895fbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf665…8298backed Over | 51c | 192$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…e9f3backed Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad8…c5c3backed Over | 51c | 192$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed Under | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Over | 54c | 122.43$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Over | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…97c2backed Over | 52c | 116.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…07a2backed Over | 52c | 107$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 50c | 100.35$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.01 | 205 | 36.6%75 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 477 | 38.2%182 W · 295 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…9371backed Over | 43c | 85.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…243cbacked Under | 47c | 84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Under | 50c | 69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Under | 50c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…9aa5backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xede6…89c4backed Over | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…abc3backed Over | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fc…51c6backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3276…1fa6backed Under | 50c | 49.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Under | 22c | 46.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…b60cbacked Over | 78c | 46.6$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8358…956bbacked Over | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9430…97cebacked Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 51c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 339 | 49.9%169 W · 170 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Over | 53c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bd…80c9backed Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…0aa5backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Over | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2c…0ab7backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa916…4f30backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 158 | 41.1%65 W · 93 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Over | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Under | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 49c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…2e0cbacked Over | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ad…2c48backed Over | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b18…899cbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…9004backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5this page
- Spread: Pacers (-10.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-8.5)Wizards won
- Spread: Pacers (-9.5)Wizards won
- Wizards vs. PacersWizards won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 232.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.