Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf9767c12be8c1b7620bdbe3fe2f317af269891db1b8bef826e086860b5e8fbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 23c | 7,145$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.59 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 76c | 3,327$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.75 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 2,574$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.96 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 15c | 1,889$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.78 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 27c | 1,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 73c | 1,004$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Yes | 77c | 800.33$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 72c | 632.06$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes | 77c | 532.64$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 4c | 523.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 41 | 4.9%2 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 23c | 505.69$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 71c | 425.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.08 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 76c | 421.08$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b2…e7cfbacked Yes | 72c | 326.77$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes | 77c | 273.95$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 74c | 263.51$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e63…e02fbacked Yes | 72c | 247.75$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 78c | 230.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d50…e48bbacked Yes | 73c | 152.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 237 | 55.3%131 W · 106 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…ba06backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 79c | 130.28$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ea…5595backed Yes | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 80c | 125.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 23c | 120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 22c | 105.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed Yes | 70c | 103.13$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347a…83e3backed No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…367fbacked Yes | 74c | 71.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…e596backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 27c | 60.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 23c | 44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb914…e02abacked Yes | 70c | 30.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb576…195bbacked Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…3d78backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c39…9dfebacked Yes | 71c | 27.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…0d12backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3f…994fbacked Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876c…7d86backed Yes | 77c | 25.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…441ebacked Yes | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984c…9655backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57c…0f26backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…a953backed Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…b195backed Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…618fbacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-10-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.