Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8e67158e14bc692b021415a9000580af6ad8902c97ff537bc927bad6f546de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc629…c3e5backed Yes | 3c | 1,682$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 816.14$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.36 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…d9b1backed Yes | 75c | 652.84$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 7c | 554.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 5c | 478.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 7c | 450.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 7c | 403.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…73e1backed Yes | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ef…1310backed Yes | 38c | 390.6$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.99 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 56c | 390.4$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…edf2backed Yes | 6c | 382.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…d5f7backed Yes | 34c | 350.55$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 6c | 335.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 54c | 329.45$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.92 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 4c | 321.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 70 | 8.6%6 W · 64 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 54c | 301.17$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.02 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 42c | 244.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.09 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 60c | 243.34$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.99 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 47c | 242.12$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.16 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…1990backed Yes | 8c | 238.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0344…7f86backed Yes | 56c | 236.77$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b28…d021backed Yes | 8c | 236.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 287 | 18.5%53 W · 234 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +113.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf79…7376backed Yes | 39c | 219.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe9…6e7cbacked Yes | 57c | 217.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.8wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1c…25f0backed Yes | 57c | 216.32$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.96 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 63c | 206.52$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 31c | 205.13$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 199.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 53c | 184.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.21 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 26c | 182.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…2f80backed Yes | 60c | 181.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.62 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…2ed6backed Yes | 47c | 179.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…2c6bbacked Yes | 19c | 178.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 188 | 14.4%27 W · 161 L | -14.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…7aa0backed Yes | 54c | 176.31$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…c987backed Yes | 55c | 174.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 45c | 173.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.05 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc6…67d8backed Yes | 27c | 170.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d2…39b0backed Yes | 58c | 165.48$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 53c | 162.57$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.53 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 154.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 38c | 153.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 49c | 152.93$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…5a45backed Yes | 64c | 151.95$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…1f9bbacked Yes | 64c | 149.78$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 48c | 148.66$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.84 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 60c | 147.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 42c | 146.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.8 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…205abacked No | 66c | 146.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…8208backed Yes | 9c | 144.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d5…ff97backed Yes | 68c | 142.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 138.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 54c | 131.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…9534backed Yes | 74c | 131.51$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x108f…7136backed Yes | 61c | 126.03$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 60c | 119.53$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.72 | 451 | 48.6%219 W · 232 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked Yes | 21c | 112.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…541ebacked No | 46c | 110$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 61c | 108.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…ac2fbacked Yes | 59c | 104.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 66c | 103.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.56 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 78c | 103.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…db0abacked Yes | 26c | 100.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 66c | 99.59$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.73 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d1…0e35backed Yes | 38c | 98.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 66c | 95.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…43a2backed No | 52c | 95.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed No | 75c | 95.1$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…6c5fbacked No | 63c | 90.06$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 55c | 87.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…dbc0backed No | 72c | 86.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.68 | 167 | 64.1%107 W · 60 L | -13.7wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 68c | 85.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 56c | 82.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 58c | 81.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…42a0backed Yes | 60c | 80.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ab30backed Yes | 33c | 79.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 47c | 75.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4afa…b3ccbacked Yes | 45c | 75.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 69c | 75.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc501…d0f1backed Yes | 37c | 74.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…ca41backed Yes | 56c | 74.72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 71.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d0…5009backed No | 43c | 70.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9668backed Yes | 52c | 69.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 109 | 36.7%40 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 47c | 67.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 30c | 66.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 32c | 65.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380b…09d2backed Yes | 45c | 64.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…a7a5backed Yes | 54c | 64.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +40%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 63.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.94 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…a6cbbacked Yes | 38c | 61.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…b2ffbacked Yes | 51c | 60.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb074…9fb3backed Yes | 64c | 59.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed Yes | 65c | 59.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 36c | 57.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 195 | 41.5%81 W · 114 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 33c | 56.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 60c | 56.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 65c | 55.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6862backed Yes | 65c | 55.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on April 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.