Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9617b531542f1ee0989191749d7f961b3e0099054222536ca387c4b776add357
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked No | 0c | 39,221$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -80.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 9c | 1,409$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.17 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 14c | 1,369$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.01 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee8…15bebacked Yes | 19c | 1,291$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.35 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,052$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.2 | 706 | 45.8%323 W · 383 L | +16.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed No | 5c | 879.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.9 | 3,939 | 23.2%913 W · 3,026 L | +125.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…eeafbacked Yes | 39c | 698.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.15 | 167 | 33.5%56 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 50c | 694.22$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.9 | 4,313 | 53.6%2,311 W · 2,002 L | +158.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…8511backed Yes | 18c | 648.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.51 | 269 | 35.7%96 W · 173 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 15c | 635.8$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.79 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 19c | 632.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.61 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdc…a0babacked No | 32c | 620.89$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 15c | 620.24$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.2 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Yes | 20c | 536.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.64 | 155 | 27.7%43 W · 112 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed29…3848backed Yes | 14c | 519.62$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.33 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 14c | 505.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.06 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed Yes | 57c | 425$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 49c | 407.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.69 | 166 | 69.9%116 W · 50 L | +24.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…0becbacked Yes | 18c | 338.62$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 335.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.94 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 9c | 334.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.14 | 3,064 | 33.5%1,027 W · 2,037 L | +13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…1c25backed Yes | 16c | 333.02$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.88 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 32c | 306$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 350 | 63.1%221 W · 129 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 60c | 302.94$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.31 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 299.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 5c | 298.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.82 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 12c | 272.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.74 | 567 | 26.1%148 W · 419 L | -20.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…af33backed Yes | 15c | 259.98$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.78 | 253 | 32%81 W · 172 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6e…af49backed Yes | 15c | 229.81$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.03 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…81b2backed Yes | 17c | 219.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.56 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x518c…d366backed Yes | 14c | 209.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.58 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Yes | 16c | 209.13$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.57 | 201 | 33.3%67 W · 134 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 193$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 24c | 180$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…68b0backed No | 55c | 175$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 65c | 175$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 967 | 33.3%322 W · 645 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…395bbacked Yes | 18c | 156.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.59 | 336 | 28.9%97 W · 239 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6961…511bbacked No | 45c | 153.3$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.19 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 12c | 144.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 1,421 | 31.1%442 W · 979 L | -93.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 20c | 140$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +42.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 25c | 139.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.95 | 1,014 | 51.6%523 W · 491 L | +108.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 11c | 132.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e94backed No | 80c | 125.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed Yes | 16c | 124.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 3,201 | 53.6%1,716 W · 1,485 L | -101.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed Yes | 71c | 124.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 12c | 121.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.23 | 577 | 44.9%259 W · 318 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…67aabacked Yes | 14c | 120.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1,451 | 52.3%759 W · 692 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de2…1998backed Yes | 12c | 113.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 13c | 112.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9210…70a4backed Yes | 10c | 106$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…8b5ebacked Yes | 32c | 97.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.25 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 11c | 94.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.41 | 298 | 32.2%96 W · 202 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e2…4a79backed Yes | 15c | 87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7318…3ce0backed Yes | 13c | 84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54e…b2a7backed No | 79c | 79.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 13c | 78.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 18c | 78.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 17c | 78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.92 | 207 | 36.7%76 W · 131 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 20c | 77.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 26c | 70$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 74c | 67.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 311 | 19.6%61 W · 250 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa967…79a5backed No | 26c | 54.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…11cdbacked Yes | 73c | 54.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.1wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ad…2f42backed Yes | 21c | 52.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac64…866ebacked No | 23c | 52.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 814 | 57.5%468 W · 346 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 51c | 48.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 2,286 | 57.3%1,309 W · 977 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 37c | 48.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1,244 | 61.7%767 W · 477 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9edd…013cbacked Yes | 66c | 45.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 27c | 40.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 54c | 40.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 451 | 67%302 W · 149 L | +39.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 986 | 51.1%504 W · 482 L | -49.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,177 | 34.9%411 W · 766 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 57c | 38.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 41c | 38.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 58c | 38.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…3550backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 5,193 | 68.3%3,546 W · 1,647 L | +70.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142a…a44abacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 2,691 | 47.5%1,278 W · 1,413 L | +48.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed No | 46c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 41c | 28.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e9…15dcbacked No | 78c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a9…6f76backed No | 55c | 25.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 80c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,434 | 79.4%1,933 W · 501 L | +99.7wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…67b3backed Yes | 58c | 22.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…01fabacked No | 53c | 21.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,597 | 78.6%1,255 W · 342 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…d078backed Yes | 73c | 13.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…81fdbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 3?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C or higher on August 3?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.