NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc33a6b8e0e3359a82ef6dc70c6bcde18ef8e02ea04bdff2117e8cd4bd7201f10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,134
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,081
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,134 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 52c | 24,247$12,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,608.33 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 48c | 19,400$9,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,088 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 48c | 10,190$4,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.93 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 5,016$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.91 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50be…371bbacked Over | 51c | 4,220$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,152.4 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 3,133$1,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.16 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,746$1,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.89 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…e6e2backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 755$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 48c | 555.44$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.41 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed Over | 57c | 312.41$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 47c | 270.68$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.46 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 36c | 220$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b5…5a6ebacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e22…88a5backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…0b36backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0c…6825backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -12.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 36c | 182.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…5bd8backed Over | 33c | 160$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Under | 49c | 99.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 49c | 98.04$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307b…d158backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1b…0adebacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec1…dd29backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6e…6a74backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…429fbacked Under | 49c | 25.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…0f0ebacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5this page
- Eagles vs. CowboysCowboys won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: 1H MoneylineEagles won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 49.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Eagles (-4.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.