NFL · resolved market
Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 49.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2df1d2a9beee7c4a8fd54c2c484914c298ca252fbb2b96c907834d90a1dfb96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 56c | 3,600$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,601.8 | 206 | 61.2%126 W · 80 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 3,365$1,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.63 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 2,074$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.72 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 44c | 1,915$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.38 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 53c | 1,911$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.82 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 47c | 1,816$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.43 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 55c | 1,376$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.54 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 55c | 1,129$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 1,065$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.54 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Under | 53c | 1,028$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.1 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Under | 56c | 998.07$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.15 | 208 | 51%106 W · 102 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 56c | 927$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.88 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Over | 45c | 911.11$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Under | 54c | 552.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.34 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7720…da92backed Over | 47c | 533.19$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 46c | 524.99$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.49 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 438.46$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 53c | 430.65$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.41 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 43c | 280.6$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 57c | 267.66$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 234 | 47.9%112 W · 122 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…d209backed Over | 42c | 249.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Over | 42c | 236$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 45c | 186$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.7 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Over | 46c | 162.9$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 133 | 39.8%53 W · 80 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…ff0cbacked Under | 52c | 133.96$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 63c | 92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…9188backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x413c…1904backed Over | 43c | 81.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 56c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…e2dbbacked Under | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e4…b6adbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 45c | 44.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…39d8backed Under | 57c | 43.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf580…516ebacked Under | 54c | 36.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc76…d76dbacked Over | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…7a06backed Under | 60c | 25.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 49.5this page
- Eagles vs. CowboysCowboys won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: 1H MoneylineEagles won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 47.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 48.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5Under won
- Eagles vs. Cowboys: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Eagles (-3.5)Cowboys won
- Spread: Eagles (-4.5)Cowboys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.