CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs 777 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe0b0b684b88e055d81be8d333b87d3c90c2efd7d09e762527eeb67710328b2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fingers Crossedof Fingers Crossed, 777
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed 777 | 31c | 20,066$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200.24 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Fingers Crossed | 70c | 4,285$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.72 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 2,057$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.7 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 1,642$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.11 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Fingers Crossed | 75c | 1,500$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.85 | 239 | 32.2%77 W · 162 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed 777 | 28c | 1,184$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.11 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…b9c6backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 1,063$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 1,012$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 60cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 989.71$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.81 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdac9…56e7backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 833.33$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Fingers Crossed | 71c | 692.33$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed 777 | 27c | 671.34$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.81 | 185 | 36.2%67 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f7…d16abacked Fingers Crossed | 71c | 638.55$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed 777 | 2c | 595.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 552.87$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.39 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79e8…1b45backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 542.03$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 485.81$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.6 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed 777 | 26c | 450$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.5 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 430.43$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.43 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9801…1ab6backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 427.7$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.69 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…5510backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 398.55$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200c…58eabacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 387.67$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.18 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 361$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked 777 | 4c | 360.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…fbbbbacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 338.58$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…d345backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 310.14$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…1e5bbacked Fingers Crossed | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 341 | 47.5%162 W · 179 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed 777 | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…3906backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 289.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…00bcbacked Fingers Crossed | 74c | 272$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Fingers Crossed | 74c | 252.01$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ad…02b0backed Fingers Crossed | 75c | 240.73$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Fingers Crossed | 75c | 209$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 182$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7567…0923backed Fingers Crossed | 73c | 171$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Fingers Crossed | 72c | 170$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5f…3de3backed Fingers Crossed | 70c | 169$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…3d80backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 163$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…8a9bbacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Fingers Crossed | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked 777 | 28c | 132.79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d1…59c2backed Fingers Crossed | 74c | 121.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe0…4fafbacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed 777 | 32c | 94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…688cbacked Fingers Crossed | 74c | 89.19$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Fingers Crossed | 75c | 85.2$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fingers Crossed | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.83 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Fingers Crossed | 73c | 77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72e…5928backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 76.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x072c…1d5ebacked Fingers Crossed | 75c | 73.33$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…d5f3backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 69.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…7030backed Fingers Crossed | 75c | 62.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed 777 | 29c | 56.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ac…9bf0backed Fingers Crossed | 73c | 55.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…e97abacked 777 | 28c | 52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Fingers Crossed | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5b7dbacked 777 | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597f…e9cfbacked 777 | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked 777 | 28c | 46.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…c6c7backed Fingers Crossed | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed 777 | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…9bd5backed 777 | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Fingers Crossed | 67c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked 777 | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fingers Crossed | 76c | 32.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6abbbacked Fingers Crossed | 69c | 30.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 71cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Fingers Crossed | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7719…80b6backed Fingers Crossed | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Fingers Crossed | 75c | 23.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked Fingers Crossed | 72c | 19.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…60e7backed Fingers Crossed | 69c | 18.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.