Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28941cf3669d365e97085528bcf6245d3141e493bd4e62a1431a6391a1113574
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 28c | 3,040$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.21 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…d5fabacked Yes | 34c | 1,279$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 483 | 31.3%151 W · 332 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 2c | 999.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 71c | 989.14$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.35 | 1,316 | 56.2%740 W · 576 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…5848backed Yes | 32c | 543.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.04 | 241 | 41.1%99 W · 142 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 19c | 517.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.32 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 21c | 438.51$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6261…2e11backed No | 78c | 395.97$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.15 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 32c | 390.34$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 70c | 382.28$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.41 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 70c | 377.23$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked Yes | 32c | 373.73$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…82f5backed Yes | 26c | 356.73$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Yes | 30c | 350.68$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.57 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 329.83$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 72c | 317.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 32c | 310$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…38ffbacked No | 72c | 306.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 59 | 69.5%41 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 126 | 29.4%37 W · 89 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…e4babacked Yes | 31c | 288.96$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.13 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 80c | 288$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.85 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 66c | 278$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.36 | 720 | 42.2%304 W · 416 L | +26.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 69c | 266.38$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 1,187 | 62.2%738 W · 449 L | +27.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 265.66$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.37 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x107c…ab15backed Yes | 35c | 259.15$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 71c | 249.4$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.24 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed No | 67c | 244.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa755…6c5bbacked Yes | 32c | 241.27$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 125 | 30.4%38 W · 87 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed Yes | 21c | 225.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 213.4$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 202.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.06 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 273 | 28.6%78 W · 195 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 21c | 189.49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 771 | 51%393 W · 378 L | +23.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 71c | 175.5$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.64 | 1,274 | 50.9%649 W · 625 L | -35.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 69c | 166.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.33 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Yes | 30c | 162.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked Yes | 30c | 162.12$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 32c | 157.3$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 76c | 157$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 71c | 156.14$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed No | 70c | 150.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 29c | 147.39$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 70c | 144.3$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 69c | 141.04$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 69c | 140.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…bf9bbacked No | 71c | 140.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 136.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.72 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 73c | 135.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c90…17efbacked Yes | 31c | 134.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.56 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a7…2657backed Yes | 21c | 133.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 183 | 28.4%52 W · 131 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 27c | 132.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0754…a576backed Yes | 33c | 128.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 71c | 126.18$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 68c | 125.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.06 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 69c | 123.35$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 67c | 116.79$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 74c | 116.63$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 257 | 84.4%217 W · 40 L | +30.3wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…dc53backed Yes | 34c | 115.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 71c | 115.35$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 63c | 113.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 317 | 48.6%154 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed No | 68c | 108.62$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 68c | 105.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 74c | 105.09$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 799 | 47.9%383 W · 416 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 33c | 103$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…7b77backed Yes | 39c | 102.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 71c | 102.05$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…b6a8backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032f…8d74backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f5…8fd4backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…8700backed Yes | 27c | 99.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed Yes | 30c | 97.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 70c | 95.44$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…01fabacked No | 69c | 87.04$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.81 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 36c | 84.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Yes | 39c | 84.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 68c | 82.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ec…082cbacked Yes | 28c | 81.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebd…a26fbacked Yes | 37c | 81.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 26c | 80.73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 17c | 73.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…5db6backed No | 77c | 72.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd758…b0ecbacked No | 69c | 71.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…f78ebacked Yes | 32c | 68.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 69c | 68.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 28c | 64.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64be…c653backed Yes | 22c | 61.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2749…e996backed Yes | 32c | 60.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 66c | 60.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec42…5ffbbacked No | 80c | 60$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 151 | 76.8%116 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55f…9475backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…871ebacked Yes | 21c | 59.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Yes | 37c | 58.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 64c | 57.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 33c | 57.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.