TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cincinnati Redsof Colorado Rockies, Cincinnati Reds
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,252
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,252 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Colorado Rockies46c14,604$6,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.642,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Colorado Rockies32c14,343$4,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,633.171,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Cincinnati Reds61c11,993$7,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,677.251,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Colorado Rockies39c10,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,899.9944945.4%204 W · 245 L-13.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Cincinnati Reds59c6,000$3,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,459.9955052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed Cincinnati Reds54c5,539$2,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,565.8818860.1%113 W · 75 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+237.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Cincinnati Reds69c5,100$3,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.0648850.2%245 W · 243 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a6…c8d3backed Colorado Rockies42c5,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1209350.5%47 W · 46 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds61c4,918$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.0337953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Colorado Rockies0c4,800$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.58762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Colorado Rockies40c4,274$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.761,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b4c…f1ccbacked Cincinnati Reds59c2,688$1,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.183100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Colorado Rockies39c2,651$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.0820647.1%97 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Cincinnati Reds61c2,651$1,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.8932152%167 W · 154 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Cincinnati Reds61c2,500$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9475248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies49c2,415$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.099,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds61c2,261$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.683,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Colorado Rockies40c2,222$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.781,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Colorado Rockies41c1,950$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.51,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Cincinnati Reds60c1,897$1,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.9627451.8%142 W · 132 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Cincinnati Reds79c1,538$1,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.732,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds61c1,317$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.6740645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Colorado Rockies19c1,194$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.931039%121 W · 189 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cincinnati Reds58c1,140$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.761,14142.9%490 W · 651 L-37.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Cincinnati Reds61c1,130$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.71,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Colorado Rockies39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39012640.5%51 W · 75 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Cincinnati Reds61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Cincinnati Reds71c955.44$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.42,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies2c952.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.356,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Cincinnati Reds60c907.06$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.246,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Cincinnati Reds60c823.79$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.5233852.7%178 W · 160 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Colorado Rockies40c789.71$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.374,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Colorado Rockies5c772.48$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3637143.9%163 W · 208 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Cincinnati Reds75c740.84$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.471,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Colorado Rockies7c640$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.271,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cec…acb7backed Cincinnati Reds41c639.97$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3e…7d88backed Cincinnati Reds44c577.27$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.272045%9 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Colorado Rockies40c559.5$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.41,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Cincinnati Reds73c544$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.8898149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Colorado Rockies41c500$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20519248.4%93 W · 99 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado Rockies10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.994034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked Cincinnati Reds40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30022831.6%72 W · 156 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde27…2cfdbacked Colorado Rockies50c460$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301540%6 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c49…1d27backed Colorado Rockies39c455.64$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-42.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked Colorado Rockies57c450$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.228953.9%48 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds46c448.84$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.998,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Cincinnati Reds45c428.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.558,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies39c404.96$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.931,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Cincinnati Reds59c402$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.54,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Cincinnati Reds60c392.37$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.951,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ff2…30a6backed Colorado Rockies39c371.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+72%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Colorado Rockies20c369.74$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4333515.5%52 W · 283 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc278…a116backed Colorado Rockies40c368.76$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.584140.2%338 W · 503 L-3.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Cincinnati Reds70c355$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.261,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Colorado Rockies69c305.75$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.971,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Colorado Rockies41c300$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12322848.2%110 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Cincinnati Reds41c296$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.6419934.2%68 W · 131 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Colorado Rockies30c274.09$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5310338.8%40 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Cincinnati Reds57c260.27$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.061,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Colorado Rockies59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15081257.3%465 W · 347 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x852f…3aaebacked Colorado Rockies39c252$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.287341.1%30 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Colorado Rockies27c247.11$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6410847.2%51 W · 57 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d62…eaf3backed Colorado Rockies40c240$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9619642.9%84 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Colorado Rockies41c225$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Cincinnati Reds55c208.18$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2639640.9%162 W · 234 L-25.4wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Colorado Rockies41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$823,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…eee6backed Cincinnati Reds61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7814555.9%81 W · 64 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies40c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Cincinnati Reds61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4735446%163 W · 191 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf3…101fbacked Colorado Rockies41c199.02$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.633241.3%137 W · 195 L+1.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed Colorado Rockies40c195.12$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7837941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70cd…241fbacked Cincinnati Reds61c192.01$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.88850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Colorado Rockies59c184.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0147589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x5c7e…913ebacked Cincinnati Reds61c180.79$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.515100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Colorado Rockies40c179$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.621,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87c0…244ebacked Colorado Rockies53c174.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7421948.4%106 W · 113 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Colorado Rockies41c170.73$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021153.1%112 W · 99 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies59c165$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.255,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed Cincinnati Reds62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2914558.6%85 W · 60 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Colorado Rockies40c158.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.643253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea0…865dbacked Cincinnati Reds60c155$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6216952.1%88 W · 81 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb56…7edabacked Cincinnati Reds66c154.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.151090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Cincinnati Reds61c150$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2527248.5%132 W · 140 L-1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Cincinnati Reds43c145.58$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.032,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Colorado Rockies39c142.2$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.4622445.5%102 W · 122 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Colorado Rockies40c140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.363644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Colorado Rockies40c140$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.31,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies65c134.79$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9510,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Colorado Rockies39c134$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.616129.5%18 W · 43 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-41.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Cincinnati Reds51c132.08$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.7213152.7%69 W · 62 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cincinnati Reds60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9537348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Colorado Rockies39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16849%572 W · 596 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Cincinnati Reds39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2110537.1%39 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Cincinnati Reds67c126.85$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8536157.9%209 W · 152 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cincinnati Reds65c125.01$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.841,77758.4%1,037 W · 740 L+91.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed Colorado Rockies40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013245.5%60 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c7d…423fbacked Colorado Rockies41c124.39$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5111141.4%46 W · 65 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d2…70a3backed Colorado Rockies48c122.64$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.321145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a6b…68a0backed Colorado Rockies25c121.31$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d00…7507backed Colorado Rockies39c120.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479642.7%41 W · 55 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.