MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0556f9db1a4c4c11584f4d60c3a5171717db241945b3bbe39d6f64dc83f6cc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Over | 51c | 10,599$5,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.28 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 57c | 7,709$4,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,366.54 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked Over | 43c | 2,674$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.42 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e3…e736backed Under | 49c | 2,503$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.39 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 50c | 2,438$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.02 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 2,301$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.6 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Under | 49c | 2,030$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.7 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469d…1a62backed Under | 56c | 1,900$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.93 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 1,671$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 42c | 1,614$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.84 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Under | 1c | 1,324$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 136 | 5.9%8 W · 128 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 44c | 1,256$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.06 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Under | 56c | 1,075$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.16 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 48c | 1,070$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.69 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 43c | 1,021$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.24 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 42c | 793.52$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.51 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 58c | 603$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 35c | 548.48$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 37c | 500$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.05 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 43c | 440.02$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.02 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 43c | 397.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.06 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 42c | 363$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.54 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 42c | 360.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 31c | 320$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 267 | 59.2%158 W · 109 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 29c | 288$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 38c | 234.16$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Over | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 62c | 190.56$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Under | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 43c | 187.4$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 50c | 186.75$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.57 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 44c | 182.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 53c | 177.29$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.01 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 54c | 174.28$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.11 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 38c | 138.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 50c | 134.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 45c | 98.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.45 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 21c | 93.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.27 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x504a…a236backed Over | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad8…5004backed Over | 43c | 91.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Under | 46c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.62 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 55c | 76.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 59c | 76.06$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.59 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…e60abacked Over | 44c | 75.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 50c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7d…695fbacked Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 63c | 69.3$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 47c | 58.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 38c | 58.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…fd16backed Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…9c13backed Over | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 24c | 54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 43c | 52.37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Under | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 54c | 47.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 32c | 46.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Under | 28c | 45.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 58c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 63c | 38.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 56c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 56c | 35.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 37c | 35.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 63c | 34.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 43c | 33.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc9…beb1backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 58c | 24.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 79c | 23.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 59c | 23.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 67c | 22.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1c…18fabacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…d28ebacked Under | 53c | 19.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati RedsCincinnati Reds won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.