Tennis · resolved market
Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Keegan Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f3a129fc1c72d108359d9529a76257622c433c7e0f137dea13804c97e2bfa42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Gastonof Hugo Gaston, Keegan Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,136
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,136 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Keegan Smith | 33c | 8,833$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,935.75 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Keegan Smith | 29c | 8,790$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,505.91 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Keegan Smith | 35c | 5,785$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.62 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 5,353$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed Hugo Gaston | 45c | 5,294$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.05 | 284 | 44.7%127 W · 157 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Hugo Gaston | 61c | 5,164$3,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,005.24 | 655 | 58.9%386 W · 269 L | -32.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Hugo Gaston | 76c | 4,893$3,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.96 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Keegan Smith | 40c | 4,803$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.49 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Hugo Gaston | 72c | 4,172$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.79 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Keegan Smith | 41c | 3,886$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.92 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Hugo Gaston | 64c | 3,663$2,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.94 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Keegan Smith | 26c | 3,308$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.42 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Hugo Gaston | 46c | 3,235$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.97 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Keegan Smith | 13c | 2,773$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Keegan Smith | 33c | 2,770$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.39 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Keegan Smith | 40c | 1,778$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.7 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46ff…6672backed Keegan Smith | 1c | 1,648$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 12.9%20 W · 135 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Hugo Gaston | 74c | 1,600$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.76 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Keegan Smith | 24c | 1,479$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.96 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ce…99f6backed Hugo Gaston | 41c | 1,375$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.37 | 179 | 36.9%66 W · 113 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Keegan Smith | 26c | 1,259$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.08 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Keegan Smith | 22c | 1,138$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5792…6481backed Hugo Gaston | 50c | 1,123$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.5 | 132 | 22%29 W · 103 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Hugo Gaston | 71c | 1,104$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.79 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Keegan Smith | 30c | 1,068$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 394 | 31%122 W · 272 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Keegan Smith | 26c | 1,063$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.58 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Keegan Smith | 25c | 1,037$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.11 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Keegan Smith | 22c | 999.98$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0e…b2ddbacked Hugo Gaston | 77c | 843.14$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 10 | 100%10 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Hugo Gaston | 75c | 802$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…fbdabacked Keegan Smith | 15c | 572.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Keegan Smith | 24c | 506.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.76 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Hugo Gaston | 61c | 489.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.78 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Keegan Smith | 22c | 469$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.18 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8d…58c7backed Hugo Gaston | 52c | 458.19$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.05 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Hugo Gaston | 69c | 454.14$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.78 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Keegan Smith | 44c | 451.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.33 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Keegan Smith | 56c | 448.25$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Hugo Gaston | 46c | 431.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.94 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Hugo Gaston | 71c | 408.6$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.49 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Hugo Gaston | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c8…68d7backed Hugo Gaston | 52c | 390$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.6 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Hugo Gaston | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…bdcfbacked Hugo Gaston | 77c | 365.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Keegan Smith | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 378 | 54%204 W · 174 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Hugo Gaston | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Keegan Smith | 33c | 349.21$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Keegan Smith | 31c | 342.29$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.11 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Hugo Gaston | 75c | 337.31$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Keegan Smith | 24c | 333.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Hugo Gaston | 45c | 331.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 503 | 64.6%325 W · 178 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Hugo Gaston | 44c | 320.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Hugo Gaston | 76c | 315.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Hugo Gaston | 68c | 315.26$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Hugo Gaston | 72c | 301.39$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Hugo Gaston | 58c | 300.01$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.98 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Hugo Gaston | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5d…014bbacked Keegan Smith | 5c | 273.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Hugo Gaston | 74c | 270.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Hugo Gaston | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Keegan Smith | 53c | 255$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.8 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hugo Gaston | 67c | 238.63$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.48 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Keegan Smith | 46c | 233.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Keegan Smith | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Keegan Smith | 43c | 204.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.31 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x855f…4954backed Hugo Gaston | 74c | 203.05$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 105 | 70.5%74 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…575cbacked Hugo Gaston | 80c | 203.05$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…d5a3backed Hugo Gaston | 65c | 190.77$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Keegan Smith | 59c | 186.9$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.96 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Hugo Gaston | 70c | 163.79$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Keegan Smith | 32c | 154.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…61fdbacked Hugo Gaston | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Hugo Gaston | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Hugo Gaston | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Hugo Gaston | 52c | 139.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.6 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Hugo Gaston | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 177 | 67.2%119 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…1a64backed Hugo Gaston | 73c | 136.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.97 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Hugo Gaston | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Hugo Gaston | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 186 | 59.7%111 W · 75 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Hugo Gaston | 74c | 119.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Hugo Gaston | 51c | 118.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 229 | 53.3%122 W · 107 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…5b3abacked Hugo Gaston | 76c | 118.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Keegan Smith | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Hugo Gaston | 55c | 114.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Keegan Smith | 31c | 111$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Keegan Smith | 27c | 107$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc77…3885backed Hugo Gaston | 80c | 106.61$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Hugo Gaston | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd99e…67e3backed Hugo Gaston | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 66 | 68.2%45 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Hugo Gaston | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Hugo Gaston | 47c | 98.09$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 179 | 30.7%55 W · 124 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Keegan Smith | 27c | 96.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keegan Smith | 21c | 94.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Hugo Gaston | 49c | 91.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.21 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…6e64backed Keegan Smith | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 47.5%97 W · 107 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keegan Smith | 30c | 84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Keegan Smith | 24c | 81.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 244 | 48.8%119 W · 125 L | +17.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Hugo Gaston | 70c | 73.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Keegan Smith | 32c | 73.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Keegan Smith | 18c | 72.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 275 | 46.5%128 W · 147 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thionville: Hugo Gaston vs Keegan Smiththis page
- Set 1 Winner: Gaston vs SmithSmith won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.