MLB · resolved market
San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee25bf9be75f686669711f4d9141c553cece1fba8d80514e52ca953533e21283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cincinnati Redsof San Francisco Giants, Cincinnati Reds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $286,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $286,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 68,233$34,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,116.32 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 32,333$16,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,166.51 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 26,058$12,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,797.72 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 17,719$8,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,919.67 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 17,012$8,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,575.39 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 13,320$6,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,526.83 | 435 | 54%235 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 10,470$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.09 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 9,771$4,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.53 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 7,496$3,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.19 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 5,335$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.5 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 5,005$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.98 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 4,663$2,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,331.73 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 4,584$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,245.92 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Francisco Giants | 0c | 4,100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…6146backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 4,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 3,957$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.93 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 3,894$1,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,929.53 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Francisco Giants | 49c | 3,209$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.3 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked San Francisco Giants | 47c | 3,177$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.42 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Francisco Giants | 1c | 2,708$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,425$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.5 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…7287backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 2,088$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked San Francisco Giants | 32c | 1,939$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.89 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…6a4ebacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 1,791$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.94 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Francisco Giants | 44c | 1,623$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.14 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Francisco Giants | 22c | 1,595$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.38 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Francisco Giants | 24c | 1,543$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.45 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Francisco Giants | 1c | 1,505$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Francisco Giants | 25c | 1,490$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.25 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed San Francisco Giants | 30c | 1,375$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.1 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed San Francisco Giants | 6c | 1,278$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 49c | 1,195$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.58 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,019$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.25 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 1,006$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 1,003$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 899.6$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.2 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2513…91fbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 893.1$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.55 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Francisco Giants | 20c | 811.62$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 750.02$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.01 | 273 | 45.4%124 W · 149 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 721.53$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.88 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 718.44$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.22 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed San Francisco Giants | 16c | 658.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.38 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad77…3d8ebacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 634.51$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c31…ebdbbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 609.76$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.88 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 570.92$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.75 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81d9…3d1fbacked San Francisco Giants | 2c | 564.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 560$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 548.2$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.05 | 707 | 44.7%316 W · 391 L | -22.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…2981backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 532.88$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa229…3cfcbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 532.88$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa48…4561backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 523.8$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 523.03$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.52 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 520.83$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.3 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa85…4430backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 513.68$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 505.28$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 493.54$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 485$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed San Francisco Giants | 2c | 480.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed San Francisco Giants | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccc…282abacked Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 468.1$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 76c | 467.96$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 554 | 64.1%355 W · 199 L | +63.1wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed San Francisco Giants | 3c | 427.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…38e7backed San Francisco Giants | 7c | 404.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…26f2backed Cincinnati Reds | 63c | 394.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed San Francisco Giants | 25c | 386.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed San Francisco Giants | 49c | 386.31$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.33 | 114 | 51.8%59 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…ee14backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked San Francisco Giants | 29c | 363.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.32 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked Cincinnati Reds | 78c | 341.82$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 76cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 335.25$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.63 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Francisco Giants | 39c | 329.32$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.43 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 325.81$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.01 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked San Francisco Giants | 3c | 315.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed San Francisco Giants | 26c | 314.97$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Cincinnati Reds | 75c | 300.01$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed San Francisco Giants | 10c | 294.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 294$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked San Francisco Giants | 50c | 291$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 526 | 38.4%202 W · 324 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ede…0a84backed Cincinnati Reds | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 264.6$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 262.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.37 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked San Francisco Giants | 27c | 258.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.07 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed San Francisco Giants | 50c | 240.56$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.28 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 232.8$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Cincinnati Reds | 69c | 229.26$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.11 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Cincinnati Reds | 50c | 226.01$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.01 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Redsthis page
- San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5Under won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-3.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-4.5)Cincinnati Reds won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati RedsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.