Earnings · resolved market
Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e16e9f7a0935b824ee25ff3220f94f2dfbdcade8986459ac007d7da2987bc14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 21c | 2,103$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.08 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b5…b465backed Yes | 79c | 1,981$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.43 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked No | 29c | 1,041$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c8…350ebacked Yes | 71c | 981.3$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 19c | 922.17$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.51 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 16c | 636.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.62 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 26c | 611$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.1 | 342 | 37.1%127 W · 215 L | +21.4wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 71c | 424.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…47b1backed Yes | 74c | 404.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825d…1633backed No | 18c | 359.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +120.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 14c | 212.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 760 | 37.6%286 W · 474 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed No | 11c | 209.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 23c | 195.92$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.06 | 189 | 41.3%78 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked No | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 207 | 42%87 W · 120 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e65…8443backed No | 16c | 149.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed No | 18c | 141.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 155 | 64.5%100 W · 55 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…8bc6backed Yes | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 17c | 134.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…d1f1backed No | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…87c2backed No | 24c | 125.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f58abacked No | 18c | 113.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c06…67b6backed No | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 29c | 109.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -62%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 27c | 102.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 578 | 38.9%225 W · 353 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 19c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…0ad4backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 72c | 99.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 73c | 83.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…b09cbacked No | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08da…4156backed No | 36c | 66.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8855…ebd5backed No | 20c | 57.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3c…0d25backed No | 19c | 53.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0e…4419backed No | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea3a…f78ebacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…da90backed No | 28c | 49.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1d27backed Yes | 71c | 28.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…b9bcbacked Yes | 72c | 27.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 74cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.