Stocks · resolved market
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $330?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f144f3f060cfaf6a0652e32e34fa6db768ff4de61113f199fd3313f27e20e3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,519
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,519 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x969f…4d55backed No | 52c | 2,171$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.98 | 1,106 | 43.9%486 W · 620 L | +27.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 39c | 1,129$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.33 | 482 | 34%164 W · 318 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 53c | 955$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.85 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed No | 70c | 534.18$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.43 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 24c | 431.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 221 | 29%64 W · 157 L | -14.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 45c | 347.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 438 | 38.8%170 W · 268 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 45c | 282$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa85…fe60backed No | 44c | 223.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 45c | 204$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 863 | 38.1%329 W · 534 L | -43.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 262 | 37%97 W · 165 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b5…7543backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 46c | 195$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.73 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 161.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 1,443 | 8.8%127 W · 1,316 L | -53.1wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 124.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 519 | 27.6%143 W · 376 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 63c | 120$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 21c | 111$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 565 | 48.7%275 W · 290 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 79c | 111$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f22…3f6cbacked Yes | 70c | 110.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Yes | 39c | 108.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…199abacked No | 70c | 104.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfae0…00b5backed Yes | 23c | 101.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 151 | 31.1%47 W · 104 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2361…e16ebacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…91d1backed No | 68c | 96.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…ffa1backed Yes | 48c | 94.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 55c | 83.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed No | 52c | 80.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…8ec3backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…6be0backed No | 59c | 58.6$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…689fbacked Yes | 56c | 53.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 29c | 53.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 48.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -16.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -45%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x169b…4c3dbacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c4…d7ecbacked No | 68c | 36.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 348 | 39.1%136 W · 212 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 36c | 29.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 44c | 28.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 199 | 34.2%68 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…3413backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…33e2backed No | 43c | 23.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…7e1bbacked Yes | 78c | 23.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d3…a677backed No | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $330?this page
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $305?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $310?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $315?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $320?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $325?Yes won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $335?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $340?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $345?No won
- Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of January 19 above $365?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.