Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ca6e706ef28718e3d957a928313f76df1b67c6f6f66ab35e5a9e40c41baa37b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaddf…2501backed Yes | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…73e9backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8b…2ee6backed No | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 13c | 431$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.12 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e20…0815backed Yes | 7c | 429.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b8b…63c7backed Yes | 12c | 421.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 86 | 9.3%8 W · 78 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…4105backed Yes | 10c | 396.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 337 | 26.4%89 W · 248 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…9dd0backed Yes | 7c | 317.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 312.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 9c | 285.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 11c | 246.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.31 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 12c | 244.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 11c | 222$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…596cbacked Yes | 13c | 219.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 214 | 48.6%104 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 34c | 202$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x523f…d6ecbacked Yes | 41c | 198.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5368…2d62backed Yes | 18c | 179.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 1,804 | 27.4%494 W · 1,310 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…4d38backed Yes | 43c | 171.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8781…88c0backed Yes | 8c | 169.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 325 | 48.6%158 W · 167 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed Yes | 9c | 165$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79b9…7d93backed Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 84 | 31%26 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed No | 68c | 145.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca41…8486backed Yes | 32c | 140$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.18 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 27c | 133$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…85ddbacked No | 78c | 128.51$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 70c | 121.71$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b0…ab64backed No | 67c | 120.46$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 294 | 59.5%175 W · 119 L | +20.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…e97fbacked Yes | 27c | 111.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 350 | 18%63 W · 287 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 27c | 102.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…8e62backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,817 | 8.1%148 W · 1,669 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4a…1de1backed No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…c66bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 14c | 99.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…7ed6backed No | 73c | 92.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 919 | 67%616 W · 303 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 28c | 85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 83.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…f71cbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…0925backed Yes | 18c | 81.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 73c | 81.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 80.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.82 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…aca6backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 262 | 36.6%96 W · 166 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…a96cbacked Yes | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 810 | 29.1%236 W · 574 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbac…435fbacked Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2a…729bbacked Yes | 30c | 71.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ce…618dbacked No | 74c | 65.94$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 31c | 64.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed7…bb28backed Yes | 20c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 79c | 63.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 71c | 62.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…a01abacked Yes | 17c | 61.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 616 | 59.3%365 W · 251 L | +68.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…946cbacked Yes | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +40%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 28c | 59.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…23f5backed Yes | 32c | 57.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 173 | 38.2%66 W · 107 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 54c | 54.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85e3…71e0backed Yes | 37c | 53.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 52.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed No | 52c | 50.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d81…259bbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 575 | 45%259 W · 316 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4013…406bbacked Yes | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 33c | 40.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…881ebacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0f…50bebacked Yes | 48c | 37.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0072…6254backed Yes | 38c | 37.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…a6dabacked Yes | 40c | 33.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…97d8backed Yes | 35c | 31.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 61c | 30.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 860 | 50.9%438 W · 422 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e9…9960backed Yes | 37c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed No | 70c | 28.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…08bfbacked Yes | 40c | 27.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ba…df9bbacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…9ec0backed No | 65c | 24.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fce…409bbacked No | 64c | 24.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdedb…5e54backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a8…c016backed Yes | 44c | 23.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e22…1b31backed No | 66c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +11.8wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf413…3f6cbacked No | 67c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x286f…82a5backed No | 61c | 16.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 16?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on March 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 16?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 16?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 9°C on March 16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.