World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88a17e8287619e481fbab96e779c8e8d0c39724464a1e0b89be4320c6c1d4d5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $92,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x066e…6f56backed Yes | 5c | 12,215$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.31 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…d825backed Yes | 4c | 2,658$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…0c4dbacked Yes | 33c | 2,248$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.18 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,750$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…9545backed Yes | 43c | 1,358$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.19 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee5…3a53backed Yes | 16c | 1,352$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…ceb3backed Yes | 17c | 1,341$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…1884backed Yes | 5c | 1,212$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…6e72backed Yes | 15c | 1,158$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.79 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +18.2wins | +0.22per pick | 32cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0e77…3273backed No | 79c | 1,150$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed Yes | 17c | 1,129$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.55 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…41dcbacked Yes | 70c | 1,096$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 1,092$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2b…a065backed Yes | 21c | 807$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6f…6890backed No | 79c | 635$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267b…c34bbacked Yes | 19c | 633.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c2…fcbebacked Yes | 21c | 622.12$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…a018backed Yes | 10c | 620.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 20c | 539.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.4 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 5c | 468.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…0be2backed Yes | 36c | 436.52$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 30c | 432.75$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.93 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +28.4wins | +0.25per pick | 24cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 44c | 411.55$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…aed2backed Yes | 34c | 411.26$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.87 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked Yes | 17c | 406.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 68c | 400.02$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.68 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 72c | 399.98$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbda…f471backed Yes | 7c | 388.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e6…de8dbacked Yes | 30c | 384.28$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +470.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 21c | 343$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda08…0e21backed Yes | 7c | 317$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a4…c95bbacked Yes | 18c | 312.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 22c | 312.05$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.08 | 72 | 16.7%12 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf107…b9babacked Yes | 27c | 309.72$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f5…6824backed Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…915bbacked Yes | 49c | 295.58$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 25c | 283.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7625…11debacked Yes | 35c | 274.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 18c | 254.69$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 150 | 14%21 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 248$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 15c | 210.02$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…6694backed Yes | 26c | 209.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…8c34backed No | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 27c | 187.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…438cbacked Yes | 32c | 180.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +12.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x631b…3d78backed Yes | 48c | 166$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 55c | 164.11$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.4 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…6f0fbacked Yes | 8c | 160.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 75c | 156.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 50c | 139.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736e…e8c2backed Yes | 46c | 138.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea12…93cdbacked Yes | 21c | 135$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +288.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…f6febacked Yes | 17c | 133.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…960dbacked Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 122.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 33c | 118.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…cb96backed Yes | 44c | 112.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5673backed Yes | 27c | 109.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 32c | 106.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f62…2ab4backed Yes | 17c | 104.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 203 | 25.6%52 W · 151 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.57 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 67c | 98.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…9ac2backed Yes | 46c | 97.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…fd5dbacked Yes | 26c | 97.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ac…b29ebacked Yes | 62c | 96.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabe…4d94backed Yes | 25c | 92.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 29c | 91.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 59c | 91.23$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x521b…db60backed Yes | 38c | 83.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…7d8ebacked Yes | 61c | 82.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…0dbabacked Yes | 25c | 79.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +192.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4617…0c10backed Yes | 40c | 79.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e2…02c2backed Yes | 40c | 74.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…98babacked Yes | 18c | 71.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…597dbacked Yes | 22c | 68.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x915c…2dbebacked Yes | 19c | 66.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf264…6d1abacked Yes | 63c | 62.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460b…ed32backed Yes | 42c | 59.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…973cbacked Yes | 54c | 56.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 51c | 52.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7d…fee0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…c40bbacked Yes | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 54c | 37.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d0…9ce5backed Yes | 32c | 33.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 65c | 32.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…8e7abacked Yes | 44c | 27.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce3…ff07backed Yes | 39c | 27.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Yes | 54c | 23.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 68c | 22.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 75c | 21.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c4…ff13backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b9…1e80backed Yes | 61c | 19.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0746…eec1backed Yes | 57c | 19.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.