World Politics · resolved market
Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd438eb72d0328ccd0681aa81cfa79494e5030201119706c28d31e39d645aa660
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Yes | 49c | 1,700$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 48c | 1,433$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.95 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +7.0wins | +0.33per pick | 43cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…b17ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,177$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f9…6f0fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,159$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 68c | 793.11$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.73 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb96…9545backed Yes | 29c | 740.7$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 19c | 715$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb348…776fbacked Yes | 18c | 564.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 10c | 550.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…f02bbacked No | 78c | 449$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 22c | 449$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…5d45backed Yes | 13c | 433.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c1…9019backed Yes | 12c | 429.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 38c | 399.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 7c | 393.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…e121backed Yes | 34c | 363.7$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a2…973cbacked Yes | 31c | 361.31$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 6c | 343.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…439fbacked Yes | 13c | 341.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7288…42f1backed Yes | 33c | 303.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecac…5731backed Yes | 52c | 266.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…8063backed Yes | 26c | 259.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2236…6e0cbacked Yes | 24c | 250.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…9ac2backed Yes | 34c | 203.96$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…f344backed Yes | 50c | 198.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 77c | 187.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ab…edc1backed Yes | 18c | 187$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 182.02$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.48 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3647…3d1dbacked Yes | 13c | 181.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked Yes | 18c | 173$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ad…5221backed Yes | 21c | 141.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…2473backed Yes | 31c | 97.76$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 75c | 92.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 74c | 80.18$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13c4…ff13backed Yes | 22c | 56.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 20c | 52.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae8…5673backed Yes | 52c | 36.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 51c | 21.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b95…af88backed No | 76c | 19.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61af…fd89backed No | 79c | 14.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be below 60%?this page
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be 75% or higher?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 60% and 65%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?No won
- Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.