TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, DN SOOPers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$394,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$513,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc75a…1ab2backed DN SOOPers0c43,001$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.057869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f74…de0cbacked DN SOOPers8c19,886$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.32365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked DN SOOPers7c19,662$1,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.551,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3445…d229backed DN SOOPers0c17,400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685833.6%21 W · 562 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+178.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed DN SOOPers21c16,000$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.9882352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed DN SOOPers23c12,348$2,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,885.961,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd812…2558backed DN SOOPers23c7,949$1,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,828.1621137%78 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Dplus KIA78c6,776$5,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,484.0567276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed DN SOOPers25c6,086$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.4759450.2%298 W · 296 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed DN SOOPers4c5,804$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0189347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fd1…bfe8backed DN SOOPers11c3,945$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.9755639.6%220 W · 336 L+32.2wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Dplus KIA77c3,944$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.942,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Dplus KIA77c3,539$2,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.3867250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Dplus KIA77c3,361$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.9750155.3%277 W · 224 L-21.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b49…04a8backed Dplus KIA77c3,343$2,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.7939964.4%257 W · 142 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee1…6a80backed Dplus KIA76c3,258$2,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed DN SOOPers24c3,205$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$769.323,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked DN SOOPers24c3,000$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9849541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea5…6163backed Dplus KIA75c2,954$2,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.445366%299 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2586…f071backed DN SOOPers8c2,611$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3425952.9%137 W · 122 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5217…ec29backed DN SOOPers13c2,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32521154.5%115 W · 96 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed DN SOOPers13c2,383$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7548035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78d9…70f6backed DN SOOPers7c2,190$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0229527.1%80 W · 215 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed DN SOOPers22c2,185$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.751,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed DN SOOPers23c2,141$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.462,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fc3…6c57backed Dplus KIA77c2,062$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.924963.3%31 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee7c…70f2backed DN SOOPers9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18048533.6%163 W · 322 L+23.8wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed DN SOOPers20c1,965$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.11,25838.6%485 W · 773 L-61.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb08…b630backed DN SOOPers4c1,958$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3317032.9%56 W · 114 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3976…d68ebacked DN SOOPers5c1,578$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5711630.2%35 W · 81 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked DN SOOPers23c1,526$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Dplus KIA75c1,470$1,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.6296057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Dplus KIA76c1,394$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.521,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Dplus KIA79c1,387$1,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.2621258%123 W · 89 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Dplus KIA77c1,316$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.6370456.4%397 W · 307 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed DN SOOPers24c1,268$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.511,73144.2%765 W · 966 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Dplus KIA76c1,250$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Dplus KIA78c1,184$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.5282953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed DN SOOPers25c1,173$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.310353.4%55 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed DN SOOPers23c1,086$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.781,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed DN SOOPers23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23071249.2%350 W · 362 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Dplus KIA74c999.99$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.6696250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Dplus KIA76c999.99$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24095847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed DN SOOPers25c999.97$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.9957945.9%266 W · 313 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18f3…0c20backed Dplus KIA78c986.8$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.116155.3%89 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Dplus KIA77c949.98$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.51,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf057…1b73backed DN SOOPers3c941.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.25425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-46.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Dplus KIA78c871.14$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.9318357.9%106 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86da…401cbacked DN SOOPers11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.669851%50 W · 48 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0410…b274backed DN SOOPers11c860.55$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.666033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd01…d5acbacked Dplus KIA76c821.54$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.1724858.1%144 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked DN SOOPers24c792.33$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.8917228.5%49 W · 123 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked DN SOOPers10c776.41$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.641,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1276…0bf0backed Dplus KIA76c751.92$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.726958%40 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Dplus KIA77c744.66$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6998956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked DN SOOPers22c715.98$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.521,21254.5%660 W · 552 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked DN SOOPers24c700$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16818747.1%88 W · 99 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Dplus KIA75c697.87$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.4727957.7%161 W · 118 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b14…5022backed Dplus KIA76c648.85$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.074663%29 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Dplus KIA77c600$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13894144.6%420 W · 521 L-2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f4adbacked DN SOOPers16c593.5$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9610351.5%53 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba9…555ebacked Dplus KIA76c591.36$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.9317354.3%94 W · 79 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…cbaebacked DN SOOPers9c569.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0616254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed DN SOOPers23c554.98$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.651,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed DN SOOPers25c548.3$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4449…5095backed DN SOOPers18c528.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.086633.3%22 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed DN SOOPers14c527.48$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7543642.4%185 W · 251 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DN SOOPers9c518.63$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.252,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6322…ab7fbacked DN SOOPers5c517.12$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed DN SOOPers12c500$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.671,24242.6%529 W · 713 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fab…e336backed DN SOOPers3c500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510044%44 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed DN SOOPers22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Dplus KIA76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12041343.6%180 W · 233 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed DN SOOPers11c474.24$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4813137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed DN SOOPers10c473$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.31,29426.6%344 W · 950 L+65.3wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked DN SOOPers11c451.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9358420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Dplus KIA79c439.96$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0674250.5%375 W · 367 L-1.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked DN SOOPers12c425.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.392,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked DN SOOPers10c423$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.681,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed DN SOOPers25c412.56$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.141,13143.1%487 W · 644 L+0.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked DN SOOPers7c409.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3446154.9%253 W · 208 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Dplus KIA77c389.77$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6518448.4%89 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc04…f726backed DN SOOPers17c389.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4375738.6%292 W · 465 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked DN SOOPers25c381.98$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2156341%231 W · 332 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed DN SOOPers24c371.54$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.177338.4%28 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa04b…f09bbacked Dplus KIA77c354.78$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.62454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7eb…bfbfbacked Dplus KIA76c339.98$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.61181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed DN SOOPers5c335.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0250549.3%249 W · 256 L+2.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Dplus KIA76c323.24$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5849461.3%303 W · 191 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed DN SOOPers9c318.51$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.217027.1%19 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Dplus KIA76c312.54$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0135164.1%225 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cba…3ec4backed DN SOOPers25c305.6$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.41,54543.7%675 W · 870 L-18.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed DN SOOPers23c300$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691,22549.6%607 W · 618 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Dplus KIA76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7234244.7%153 W · 189 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Dplus KIA77c299.49$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.3748747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Dplus KIA76c297.47$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.842250%211 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Dplus KIA77c295.86$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0539152.2%204 W · 187 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed DN SOOPers19c284.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6538835.3%137 W · 251 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe49d…c3dbbacked DN SOOPers10c283.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3863247.6%301 W · 331 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…5fafbacked DN SOOPers18c266.72$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5356744.8%254 W · 313 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.