Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcee06f8bac94e69626dfc525bfeb84533595941dd00fd20c68d094cfbee4eb66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Over | 38c | 2,958$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.81 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 55c | 1,029$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.76 | 527 | 50.5%266 W · 261 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 62c | 763.98$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Under | 71c | 431.57$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 246 | 56.1%138 W · 108 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Under | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Over | 36c | 384.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.47 | 313 | 52.4%164 W · 149 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Under | 65c | 375.41$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.39 | 494 | 61.3%303 W · 191 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 35c | 353.46$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 61c | 305$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 302 | 46%139 W · 163 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Under | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Under | 62c | 269.35$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Under | 62c | 263.84$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.26 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 45c | 154.72$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.1 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 74c | 140$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 45c | 134.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 19c | 124.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Under | 79c | 112.17$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 51c | 100.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 22c | 98.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 61c | 97.42$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 14c | 89.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 45c | 72.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 501 | 45.7%229 W · 272 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 79c | 71.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Over | 37c | 64.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 45c | 60.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 21c | 60.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Over | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0e…34bebacked Over | 20c | 52.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 31c | 48.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Under | 62c | 38.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Under | 67c | 29.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…d3b0backed Under | 65c | 26.27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a22…2dcebacked Under | 57c | 22.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…b8bebacked Under | 64c | 22.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 116 | 56.9%66 W · 50 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…1920backed Under | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 202 | 69.3%140 W · 62 L | +16.0wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.