CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xec521871311393587a5aedc5e41211c463729c67c8bf77481ebdc4391f09ae6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof UNiTY esports, MOUZ NXT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 4,500$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 1,852$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.82 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ NXT | 22c | 1,582$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.47 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed UNiTY esports | 57c | 1,204$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.83 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed UNiTY esports | 62c | 1,077$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.61 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 941.93$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.16 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ NXT | 46c | 562.28$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.11 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 541.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.28 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed UNiTY esports | 48c | 511.49$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.1 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ NXT | 68c | 419.61$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…a386backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 382.62$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.52 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 312.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked UNiTY esports | 55c | 310.48$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked MOUZ NXT | 34c | 276.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.86 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ NXT | 41c | 255.98$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.87 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed MOUZ NXT | 75c | 197$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed MOUZ NXT | 35c | 193.57$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked MOUZ NXT | 52c | 179.16$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed MOUZ NXT | 51c | 174.48$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.52 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed UNiTY esports | 42c | 171.73$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed UNiTY esports | 48c | 166.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.19 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked MOUZ NXT | 77c | 128.29$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 354 | 49.7%176 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 32c | 126.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed UNiTY esports | 59c | 111.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.69 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ NXT | 43c | 106.6$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.61 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed UNiTY esports | 39c | 74.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked UNiTY esports | 59c | 66.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e53…eaebbacked MOUZ NXT | 76c | 65.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc170…dfe9backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 59.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MOUZ NXT | 46c | 59.01$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed MOUZ NXT | 34c | 58.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 55.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 55.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed MOUZ NXT | 30c | 52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.45 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…9ac2backed UNiTY esports | 31c | 43.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked MOUZ NXT | 44c | 42.96$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.91 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UNiTY esports | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x14b1…d2d8backed MOUZ NXT | 32c | 38.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +54%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked UNiTY esports | 70c | 35.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked UNiTY esports | 60c | 29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed MOUZ NXT | 43c | 25.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec85…8ba8backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 22.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group StageUNiTY esports won
- Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs MOUZ NXT - Map 2 WinnerUNiTY esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)MOUZ NXT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.