Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Connecticut Huskies (W)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17bbbc845b93821d48fe0bda42a62b69af91201fc95ab61ccf83213a9b361194
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Connecticut Huskiesof Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Connecticut Huskies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $134,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1c | 26,656$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.42 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1c | 21,999$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…3dadbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2c | 16,848$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1c | 14,167$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2c | 13,291$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.72 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1c | 5,501$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103a…3e8cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2c | 4,651$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2c | 2,507$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 41cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2c | 1,414$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1c | 1,036$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabb6…73d1backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…6f31backed Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 3c | 899.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…d3abbacked Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 4c | 335.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 202 | 34.2%69 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.