Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7a1184ad1eec5d737070edd604daaf8b363b929ac94334652c2a57037579a4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Pegulaof Jessica Pegula, Katie Boulter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $268,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,859
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $268,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Katie Boulter | 15c | 29,949$4,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,492.28 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katie Boulter | 12c | 23,749$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.12 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Katie Boulter | 11c | 12,112$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.08 | 457 | 37.9%173 W · 284 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Katie Boulter | 1c | 12,054$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Katie Boulter | 3c | 9,439$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.01 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Katie Boulter | 6c | 7,263$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.55 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Katie Boulter | 7c | 6,832$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.06 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Katie Boulter | 6c | 5,653$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.46 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Katie Boulter | 2c | 4,525$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.73 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Katie Boulter | 6c | 4,265$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.97 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Katie Boulter | 5c | 4,062$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.1 | 975 | 7.9%77 W · 898 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Katie Boulter | 7c | 3,372$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.05 | 721 | 32%231 W · 490 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Katie Boulter | 7c | 3,305$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.2 | 755 | 43.4%328 W · 427 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Katie Boulter | 1c | 2,142$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Katie Boulter | 14c | 2,037$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.54 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…0015backed Katie Boulter | 13c | 2,014$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.34 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Katie Boulter | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Katie Boulter | 7c | 1,551$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.89 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Katie Boulter | 4c | 1,538$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Katie Boulter | 3c | 1,438$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…4687backed Katie Boulter | 8c | 1,224$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 373 | 51.2%191 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Katie Boulter | 9c | 1,191$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Katie Boulter | 8c | 1,181$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782d…8211backed Jessica Pegula | 80c | 1,112$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 704 | 56.8%400 W · 304 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Katie Boulter | 2c | 1,069$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Katie Boulter | 3c | 999.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 279 | 44.1%123 W · 156 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Katie Boulter | 13c | 902.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…3dadbacked Katie Boulter | 4c | 846.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…dc73backed Katie Boulter | 4c | 715.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Katie Boulter | 3c | 646.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Katie Boulter | 6c | 625.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 434 | 49.1%213 W · 221 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…0d19backed Katie Boulter | 17c | 570.12$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 428 | 39.7%170 W · 258 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Katie Boulter | 15c | 547.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Katie Boulter | 5c | 546.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Katie Boulter | 7c | 493.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 444 | 29.7%132 W · 312 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Katie Boulter | 12c | 487.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Katie Boulter | 8c | 441.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Katie Boulter | 14c | 429$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 336 | 47.3%159 W · 177 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Katie Boulter | 8c | 422.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Katie Boulter | 4c | 422.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Katie Boulter | 3c | 422.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 535 | 39.3%210 W · 325 L | +37.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Katie Boulter | 14c | 420.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 290 | 28.3%82 W · 208 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa517…33efbacked Katie Boulter | 4c | 388.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Katie Boulter | 13c | 359.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0239…6e89backed Katie Boulter | 6c | 326.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Katie Boulter | 10c | 304.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.33 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Katie Boulter | 16c | 302.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.43 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Katie Boulter | 5c | 301.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Katie Boulter | 14c | 297.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e3…e61bbacked Katie Boulter | 16c | 284.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Katie Boulter | 15c | 248.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Katie Boulter | 16c | 240.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Katie Boulter | 9c | 231.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Katie Boulter | 14c | 220.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Katie Boulter | 17c | 219.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Katie Boulter | 12c | 213.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Katie Boulter | 15c | 210.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.63 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Katie Boulter | 15c | 192.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Katie Boulter | 14c | 178.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Katie Boulter | 14c | 155.54$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4aaebacked Katie Boulter | 7c | 150.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +4.3wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Katie Boulter | 14c | 149.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Katie Boulter | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 486 | 30.9%150 W · 336 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Katie Boulter | 16c | 99.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Jessica Pegula | 79c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Jessica Pegula vs Katie Boulterthis page
- Jessica Pegula vs. Katie Boulter: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Boulter (+1.5)Pegula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.