Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf64b7f60786f86af962f4b771a4e6587d84676284bd1fe2d3a002736d6f0af8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d41…24d7backed Yes | 77c | 633.27$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 53c | 609.28$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.27 | 309 | 19.4%60 W · 249 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 39c | 528.44$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.96 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed No | 38c | 413.45$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -14.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 70c | 389.33$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 29c | 368.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 591 | 21.5%127 W · 464 L | -30.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3117…0f8fbacked Yes | 35c | 333.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 65c | 306.1$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 38c | 292.61$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.31 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…e0dabacked Yes | 44c | 268.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.29 | 1,861 | 23.8%443 W · 1,418 L | +47.9wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 226.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.38 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 12c | 200.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f4…93cbbacked Yes | 59c | 190.52$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…846cbacked Yes | 35c | 188.59$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 179.74$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.47 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 48c | 174.93$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.42 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 29c | 163.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.29 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 31c | 161.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 67c | 160.9$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.24 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 67c | 145.33$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…4fc0backed Yes | 32c | 125.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.01 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 20c | 125.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 32c | 120$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 52c | 109.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…8f7abacked Yes | 36c | 94.22$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.71 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 33c | 91.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.02 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…cb82backed Yes | 34c | 90.72$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.69 | 68 | 23.5%16 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 34c | 88.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 36c | 82.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 252 | 39.7%100 W · 152 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 43c | 82.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 78c | 81.95$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 33c | 77.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 17c | 76.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 33c | 75.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…9678backed No | 66c | 75.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…4264backed No | 66c | 74.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.05 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -12.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 25c | 72.85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 19c | 71.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked No | 17c | 70.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 33c | 68.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 34c | 64.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…b868backed No | 23c | 60.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 291 | 37.8%110 W · 181 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 29c | 55.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb8…207ebacked Yes | 79c | 53.37$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 32c | 51.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 23c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 49.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 49.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked No | 33c | 48.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 68c | 45.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…8564backed Yes | 30c | 45.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 162 | 34%55 W · 107 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…59e9backed Yes | 33c | 44.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 170 | 33.5%57 W · 113 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 35c | 44.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 31c | 43.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6240…c294backed No | 67c | 43.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 94 | 62.8%59 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 62c | 43.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…3059backed Yes | 33c | 42.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +107.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 73c | 41.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 65c | 40.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 607 | 39.7%241 W · 366 L | +27.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc769…0925backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…e878backed Yes | 35c | 30.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 237 | 43%102 W · 135 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 33c | 30.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 40c | 30.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…31c4backed No | 35c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 56c | 29.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9987…9014backed Yes | 67c | 28.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…9491backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 43c | 27.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 76c | 27.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…f4d3backed No | 69c | 25.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 247 | 70%173 W · 74 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked No | 66c | 25.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c9…d2b8backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 535 | 47.5%254 W · 281 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d9…03d2backed Yes | 65c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…c3f9backed No | 67c | 21.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 74cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 78c | 21.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…7fd5backed No | 70c | 20.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 20.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5191…0c35backed Yes | 68c | 19.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a91…983fbacked Yes | 65c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f01…4c3abacked No | 70c | 17.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 161 | 59%95 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0da…4162backed Yes | 79c | 16.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…e477backed Yes | 79c | 14.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on April 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on April 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.