TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Detroit Tigersof Baltimore Orioles, Detroit Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,663
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,663 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xebe6…9278backed Detroit Tigers64c3,465$2,233 inWon+$1,232.522,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Baltimore Orioles37c2,692$996 inLost-$996.0439041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles36c1,965$707 inLost-$707.244,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles35c1,718$601 inLost-$601.4212,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Detroit Tigers63c1,079$681 inWon+$398.773748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Detroit Tigers63c1,000$630 inWon+$3702,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29b0…3f3cbacked Detroit Tigers63c889.25$561 inWon+$327.8419248.4%93 W · 99 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Baltimore Orioles37c600.14$222 inLost-$22217354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Detroit Tigers63c404.41$255 inWon+$149.633,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers64c400$256 inWon+$1441,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Detroit Tigers64c370.81$237 inWon+$133.328,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Baltimore Orioles36c243$88 inLost-$88.441,88453%998 W · 886 L+16.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles36c192$69 inLost-$69.121,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Baltimore Orioles21c166.67$35 inLost-$353821.1%8 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Baltimore Orioles36c100$36 inLost-$362,31052.6%1,215 W · 1,095 L+27.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Detroit Tigers65c86$56 inWon+$30.12,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Baltimore Orioles35c62.88$22 inLost-$21.813,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Detroit Tigers64c50$32 inWon+$181,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Detroit Tigers65c42.88$28 inWon+$15.0137357.4%214 W · 159 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dd…f376backed Baltimore Orioles36c41.67$15 inLost-$151338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9545…d6f7backed Baltimore Orioles37c40.92$15 inLost-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles35c39.99$14 inLost-$144,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Detroit Tigers64c20$13 inWon+$7.32,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Detroit Tigers66c20$13 inWon+$6.81,82854.1%989 W · 839 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65c4…7ea4backed Detroit Tigers65c20$13 inWon+$6.95633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Detroit Tigers64c16.72$11 inWon+$6.021,84550.7%936 W · 909 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.