Asian League · resolved market
Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a146a508d4cc26802771534c9f9fba0ce7e8d2735389719b9f70ebd89f09dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Yes | 31c | 5,874$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 69c | 4,666$3,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,767$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,444$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 71c | 890.16$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 23c | 428.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 17c | 294.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 265$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa730…9b7cbacked Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 47c | 181.05$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.96 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 50c | 146.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.19 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19c…160fbacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7843backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 49c | 94.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked No | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked No | 49c | 80.38$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 47c | 79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 934 | 46.1%431 W · 503 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed No | 50c | 66.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 48c | 57.69$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d242backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a7…40f7backed No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 47c | 44.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 51c | 34.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa636…dfe9backed Yes | 51c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 66c | 19.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5617…a1f2backed No | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed No | 74c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5)Vissel Kōbe won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Kyōto Sanga FC won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-2.5)Kyōto Sanga FC won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.