Asian League · resolved market
Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc185e15458bf1b1818c429ff2485fffe8c36e362734b5a4d32a0ecb3ddef3d0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,727
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 3,244$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.51 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,013$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.7 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 29c | 1,034$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 29c | 856.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 73c | 838.08$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.41 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 27c | 785.61$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.58 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…5780backed Over | 66c | 776.15$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.16 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 720.72$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.43 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 26c | 673.59$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.46 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Over | 40c | 656$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 385.93$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 32c | 279.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 27c | 240.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 21c | 228.36$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 37c | 214.98$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…26d7backed Over | 73c | 201.75$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.28 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 199.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.94 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 26c | 175.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…4387backed Over | 70c | 142.1$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…ba56backed Over | 28c | 140.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 75c | 133.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 115$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 12c | 109.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Over | 75c | 102.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 69c | 92.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Under | 30c | 76.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Over | 75c | 51.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 27c | 46.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 35c | 37.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf05b…3c59backed Over | 36c | 33.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 59c | 25.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72b0…2910backed Over | 63c | 23.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…af55backed Over | 73c | 20.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 75c | 17.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5)Vissel Kōbe won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-1.5)Kyōto Sanga FC won
- Spread: Vissel Kōbe (-2.5)Kyōto Sanga FC won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.