Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Middlesex vs Surrey
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3389d445e61b26c895a9ee8e517142ed5ea3e0ec2a2007a60386b95aef8c56b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Surreyof Middlesex, Surrey
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Middlesex | 19c | 1,910$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.01 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Middlesex | 28c | 1,070$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.28 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Middlesex | 21c | 1,055$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.86 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Surrey | 77c | 1,020$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.36 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Middlesex | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Surrey | 71c | 465.43$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Surrey | 65c | 456.21$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Middlesex | 30c | 360.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.65 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Middlesex | 21c | 343.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Middlesex | 35c | 282.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Middlesex | 30c | 276.43$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Middlesex | 10c | 242.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Middlesex | 33c | 194.1$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…a26fbacked Middlesex | 13c | 155.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 23cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Surrey | 78c | 155$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Middlesex | 35c | 153.69$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.27 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Surrey | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…7dfbbacked Middlesex | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Surrey | 74c | 101.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Middlesex | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed Surrey | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Surrey | 65c | 84.83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Middlesex | 33c | 80.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f0…3206backed Middlesex | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Surrey | 65c | 74.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Middlesex | 34c | 73.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Surrey | 77c | 58.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Surrey | 74c | 58.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Surrey | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06b7…e26bbacked Surrey | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Surrey | 64c | 42.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ef…f1a8backed Surrey | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Middlesex | 27c | 37.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Surrey | 62c | 25.81$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Surrey | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Surrey | 64c | 24.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae43…f595backed Surrey | 64c | 23.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Surrey | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Surrey | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e1…e453backed Surrey | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Surrey | 62c | 18.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…ac49backed Surrey | 66c | 17.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.