Euroleague · resolved market
Gran Canaria vs. Manresa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3204dc7689cd52f0b4c96b16a5b2cf9d7a384450155494b1c8660d585e196e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Manresaof Gran Canaria, Manresa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Gran Canaria | 75c | 3,086$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Manresa | 26c | 1,516$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.85 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Manresa | 24c | 999.87$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.9 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Gran Canaria | 53c | 949.98$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.49 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Manresa | 53c | 922.5$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Gran Canaria | 75c | 787.41$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.24 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Gran Canaria | 10c | 635.14$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Gran Canaria | 33c | 578.34$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Gran Canaria | 45c | 568.32$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.61 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Manresa | 54c | 532.38$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Gran Canaria | 6c | 445.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Manresa | 45c | 395.18$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.08 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…79c4backed Gran Canaria | 6c | 327.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Manresa | 28c | 286.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.14 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Manresa | 67c | 283.93$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…03e5backed Manresa | 73c | 262.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Gran Canaria | 64c | 245.96$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.31 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cb…7284backed Manresa | 44c | 226.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Manresa | 23c | 226.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Gran Canaria | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Manresa | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Manresa | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Manresa | 32c | 199.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.66 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Manresa | 47c | 188.13$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Gran Canaria | 66c | 186.66$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Manresa | 32c | 184.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Gran Canaria | 7c | 168.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Manresa | 34c | 166.66$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Manresa | 74c | 145.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gran Canaria | 65c | 143$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Manresa | 26c | 140$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Manresa | 25c | 121$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Gran Canaria | 74c | 117.35$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Gran Canaria | 49c | 114$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Gran Canaria | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Gran Canaria | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Gran Canaria | 31c | 99.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0f08…57bcbacked Gran Canaria | 71c | 98.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Gran Canaria | 34c | 94.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Manresa | 32c | 86.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Gran Canaria | 30c | 77.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Manresa | 25c | 77.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Manresa | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gran Canaria | 68c | 59.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Manresa | 32c | 59.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc0…80cebacked Gran Canaria | 35c | 57.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Gran Canaria | 29c | 54.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Gran Canaria | 76c | 46.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 61cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked Gran Canaria | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Manresa | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Manresa | 68c | 36.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Manresa | 41c | 34.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Manresa | 73c | 31.95$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Gran Canaria | 76c | 30.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9f74backed Manresa | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Manresa | 71c | 29.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Gran Canaria | 76c | 26.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…96c3backed Manresa | 50c | 26.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…1b38backed Gran Canaria | 50c | 26.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe09e…722ebacked Manresa | 50c | 24.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…ee55backed Gran Canaria | 50c | 24.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Gran Canaria | 73c | 23.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Gran Canaria | 63c | 21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Gran Canaria | 57c | 20.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Gran Canaria | 53c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Gran Canaria | 63c | 19.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Gran Canaria | 71c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.7wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Gran Canaria | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.