CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4376286affbf946f15b281c623b47a2a4b765df927a0c588d9bafbe6073517a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,312
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 38c | 3,082$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.14 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Over | 65c | 1,753$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.56 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 60c | 1,321$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.44 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 24c | 1,299$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.5 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 63c | 705.36$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.71 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed Under | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 38c | 512.11$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.59 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 38c | 467.52$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.65 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 26c | 374.14$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.49 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 367.45$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 63c | 322$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.05 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Under | 25c | 211.52$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 399 | 46.4%185 W · 214 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739a…f78abacked Over | 46c | 195.29$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Over | 63c | 163.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.36 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed Over | 54c | 157.41$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 35c | 135.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.57 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Under | 53c | 121.15$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Over | 47c | 121.15$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…32c9backed Under | 54c | 99.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfd…ff86backed Under | 54c | 95.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Over | 64c | 95.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 28c | 83.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Under | 47c | 79.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.56 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 35c | 78.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Over | 65c | 75.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8772…982dbacked Over | 59c | 67.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 137 | 53.3%73 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7e…f02fbacked Under | 34c | 59.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 40c | 56.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…b145backed Under | 35c | 55.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb722…1098backed Under | 39c | 52.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…6791backed Under | 55c | 49.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5745…2c49backed Under | 40c | 47.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee54…e5febacked Over | 63c | 31.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a12…e633backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 300 | 39.7%119 W · 181 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 40c | 25.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Under | 39c | 25.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.