Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1d216edd81166554e8660bbceb4478fd6acfabda127d3517bd56bc1ecd0f4c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $253,887
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,887 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 34,894$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa6…1e5abacked Yes | 4c | 23,450$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Yes | 4c | 23,400$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 4c | 10,319$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes | 4c | 6,915$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.26 | 302 | 14.6%44 W · 258 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 4c | 3,574$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.87 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,440$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…7434backed Yes | 4c | 3,254$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 4c | 3,139$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8c41backed Yes | 4c | 2,439$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 24.2%54 W · 169 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,427$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27af…cee0backed Yes | 4c | 2,326$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 2,317$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…1823backed Yes | 4c | 2,309$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 5c | 2,147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3f…50bcbacked Yes | 5c | 1,904$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 9.9%7 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,750$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +86%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 2c | 1,272$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 1,212$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…2d3ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,185$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2db…2f07backed Yes | 4c | 1,174$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd51…475cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,163$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…4f65backed Yes | 4c | 1,152$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7979…753abacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 5c | 1,078$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 2c | 877.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.27 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…f598backed Yes | 4c | 761.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 5%5 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e45…424cbacked Yes | 4c | 756.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…f95abacked Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a70…d019backed Yes | 4c | 731.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…a27fbacked Yes | 4c | 579.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 4c | 533.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…8843backed Yes | 4c | 500$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51e…ca28backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46d6…f5bebacked Yes | 4c | 494.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…921bbacked Yes | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…5de6backed Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…5460backed Yes | 5c | 444.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7263…d771backed Yes | 4c | 391.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 3c | 388.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…f1dbbacked Yes | 4c | 388.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eed…0b7fbacked Yes | 4c | 372.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 5c | 350$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…8497backed Yes | 4c | 348.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 5.6%3 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 4c | 340.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946b…7277backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…ea2ebacked Yes | 4c | 319.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4129…4dc9backed Yes | 4c | 282.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 4c | 273.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…e4cabacked Yes | 4c | 267.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…3cc4backed Yes | 4c | 266.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…e891backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b9…50dcbacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d5…be1cbacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b1…22abbacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x499b…fadcbacked Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…399ebacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ead…2edfbacked Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 121 | 14.9%18 W · 103 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4266…0e08backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 91 | 7.7%7 W · 84 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…6686backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 0 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?Yes won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal?No won
- Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Senegal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.