TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ThunderTalk Gamingof Anyone's Legend, ThunderTalk Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,548
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$120,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,548 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf377…4159backed ThunderTalk Gaming44c10,000$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,599.9920748.8%101 W · 106 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming42c9,393$3,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,448.181,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x282f…7c4ebacked Anyone's Legend57c9,120$5,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,198.3914342%60 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed ThunderTalk Gaming44c7,468$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,171.5269741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c5…6930backed Anyone's Legend56c4,800$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6881637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Anyone's Legend57c4,780$2,739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,739.1446050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming54c4,222$2,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.9534151.6%176 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed ThunderTalk Gaming41c4,071$1,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,401.8459554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Anyone's Legend58c3,328$1,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,923.97744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Anyone's Legend57c2,666$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.3712128.9%35 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Anyone's Legend56c2,000$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,129.9417141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming43c1,995$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.949940.7%203 W · 296 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa08f…745bbacked Anyone's Legend59c1,698$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005255.8%29 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a4…8427backed Anyone's Legend59c1,595$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94017947.5%85 W · 94 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fe…be09backed Anyone's Legend56c1,500$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.67931.6%25 W · 54 L-10.0wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed ThunderTalk Gaming54c1,490$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.071,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Anyone's Legend58c1,430$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.3722547.6%107 W · 118 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd1…864bbacked Anyone's Legend56c1,320$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.072142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb39b…9826backed Anyone's Legend59c1,195$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7052744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7975630%227 W · 529 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked ThunderTalk Gaming42c1,111$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.341,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked Anyone's Legend58c1,075$623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.2312451.6%64 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Anyone's Legend57c1,023$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.11,30138.6%502 W · 799 L-65.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Anyone's Legend54c923.83$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016547.3%78 W · 87 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbf…4605backed Anyone's Legend56c812.31$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.4726042.3%110 W · 150 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7a…8238backed Anyone's Legend56c770.44$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.4514735.4%52 W · 95 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed Anyone's Legend54c736.47$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6910441.3%43 W · 61 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Anyone's Legend58c676.24$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.281,09638.9%426 W · 670 L-47.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Anyone's Legend37c536.92$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb03…46dcbacked Anyone's Legend60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30042751.5%220 W · 207 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed ThunderTalk Gaming43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28526729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Anyone's Legend42c434.1$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.22,92344.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L-91.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Anyone's Legend58c428.74$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.6740933.7%138 W · 271 L-29.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed ThunderTalk Gaming46c396$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8752750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed ThunderTalk Gaming42c382.64$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9396054.2%520 W · 440 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf19…79bbbacked Anyone's Legend58c345$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.116858.9%99 W · 69 L+18.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+17.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x13ba…53e4backed Anyone's Legend64c313.91$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011943.7%52 W · 67 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming45c303.8$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.840441.8%169 W · 235 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2d0…1a68backed Anyone's Legend52c286.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.657826.9%21 W · 57 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b2f…ff10backed Anyone's Legend58c279.69$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.222142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed ThunderTalk Gaming43c279.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0726950.9%137 W · 132 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Anyone's Legend58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022562.2%140 W · 85 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked ThunderTalk Gaming43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5614160.3%85 W · 56 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaad1…172ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.563756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Anyone's Legend58c206.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12026440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1312…39cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming62c201.77$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.7712853.1%68 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c3…1331backed ThunderTalk Gaming43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11418553%98 W · 87 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36de…cf07backed Anyone's Legend56c196.75$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015359.5%91 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming36c193.91$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.134849.1%171 W · 177 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Anyone's Legend56c180$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.824554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa430…c6f9backed Anyone's Legend58c168.9$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9626150.6%132 W · 129 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3f8…e0b1backed ThunderTalk Gaming43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7952441%215 W · 309 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed ThunderTalk Gaming62c154.79$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8897254.3%528 W · 444 L+46.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Anyone's Legend58c153.21$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.861,35651.1%693 W · 663 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked ThunderTalk Gaming46c138.4$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3138850.8%197 W · 191 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed ThunderTalk Gaming45c133$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1525851.9%134 W · 124 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked ThunderTalk Gaming43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.136246.4%168 W · 194 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…aa25backed ThunderTalk Gaming43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.2812436.3%45 W · 79 L-16.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6f2d…4061backed ThunderTalk Gaming43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.287042.9%30 W · 40 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7e…2ef7backed Anyone's Legend55c115.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3638963%245 W · 144 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x834f…f38ebacked Anyone's Legend57c110.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Anyone's Legend59c110.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6599147.1%467 W · 524 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked ThunderTalk Gaming65c105.94$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3913250%66 W · 66 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b42…ae6ebacked Anyone's Legend57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5716439.6%65 W · 99 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed ThunderTalk Gaming43c88.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.492,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Anyone's Legend58c86.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013964%89 W · 50 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x91dc…ca3abacked ThunderTalk Gaming37c85$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.556446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4941…a2bebacked Anyone's Legend56c71.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408446.4%39 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43f7…e591backed ThunderTalk Gaming43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7720748.3%100 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked Anyone's Legend48c63.13$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed ThunderTalk Gaming43c60$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.237650%188 W · 188 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Anyone's Legend58c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.81,02345.1%461 W · 562 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dca…f9edbacked ThunderTalk Gaming65c59.74$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.914546.7%21 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.147753.2%41 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…bf6cbacked Anyone's Legend52c55.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2812348.8%60 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed ThunderTalk Gaming46c54.78$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.786454.7%35 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe408…b5a2backed ThunderTalk Gaming46c53.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+46.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e0…cc64backed Anyone's Legend58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Anyone's Legend58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2967763.4%429 W · 248 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Anyone's Legend48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Anyone's Legend35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4255428.7%159 W · 395 L-30.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Anyone's Legend58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2914546.9%68 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Anyone's Legend21c47.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010930.3%33 W · 76 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cef…dbcbbacked ThunderTalk Gaming43c46.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5112153.7%65 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c0…e808backed Anyone's Legend45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208855.7%49 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Anyone's Legend58c41.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.887838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Anyone's Legend26c38.47$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016130.4%49 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed ThunderTalk Gaming52c38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.357655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x282b…cc76backed Anyone's Legend60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013748.9%67 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked ThunderTalk Gaming36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.260243.4%261 W · 341 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b77…8e4fbacked Anyone's Legend53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811240.2%45 W · 67 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20aa…b3dcbacked Anyone's Legend58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.