Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x87a5782a9f6127998de7a3e4cd6c36217a4fd2cefae00fc580515294321ca840
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,315
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Under | 64c | 720$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.8 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 36c | 558.06$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.16 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 56c | 528.43$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.09 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 424.06$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.41 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Under | 64c | 359.7$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.11 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 293.92$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.51 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…7ff7backed Over | 39c | 256.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 63c | 240$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Under | 33c | 229.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 59c | 227.03$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 37c | 220$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.6 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 37c | 206.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.15 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Under | 43c | 105.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4d…975bbacked Under | 28c | 102.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Over | 52c | 96.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…864bbacked Under | 62c | 77.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under | 64c | 70.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Over | 38c | 52.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…b3eebacked Over | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 186 | 39.2%73 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb88f…434dbacked Over | 69c | 48.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 42c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 406 | 41.9%170 W · 236 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Under | 62c | 47.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 47.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 49c | 30.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…de68backed Over | 50c | 30.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…6c5ebacked Over | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 64c | 26.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Over | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 60c | 17.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f8…1d2fbacked Over | 74c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 2?Anyone's Legend won
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)ThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming won
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.