Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95f4f46dff82a5e08cdde74d800d464d0a871143fb3aeb77a6765dba4e195da4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,666
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,159
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,666 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 2,632$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.65 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 1,593$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.16 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0890…0646backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 1,207$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 900$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.12 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Rune Eaters | 34c | 878.7$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.08 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 598.41$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.38 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 591.23$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Nemiga Gaming | 76c | 499.92$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.95 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 499.14$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.74 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…0848backed Rune Eaters | 80c | 494.55$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.38 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 417.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.48 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 299.46$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 277.42$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Rune Eaters | 80c | 271.3$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rune Eaters | 69c | 245.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 191.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.26 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 182$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 182$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +26.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 173.47$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.71 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…cd03backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 156$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Rune Eaters | 75c | 151.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 151.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Rune Eaters | 35c | 149.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.35 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Nemiga Gaming | 16c | 149.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 148.4$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rune Eaters | 51c | 123.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 123.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 119.87$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.14 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 119.14$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 114.66$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Rune Eaters | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.35 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Rune Eaters | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Rune Eaters | 13c | 99.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.48 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Rune Eaters | 63c | 98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 95.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 93.04$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Rune Eaters | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +14.8wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 71.81$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.98 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Nemiga Gaming | 79c | 67.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…6f16backed Rune Eaters | 62c | 65.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 58.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Rune Eaters | 45c | 57.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rune Eaters | 76c | 57.01$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Rune Eaters | 28c | 51.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Rune Eaters | 73c | 50.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +15.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Nemiga Gaming | 44c | 48.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Rune Eaters | 68c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +15.0wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a62…1ccebacked Nemiga Gaming | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a48…3e67backed Rune Eaters | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2467…6878backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…3881backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 36.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f42…5b96backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 31.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Rune Eaters | 48c | 29.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…bdf9backed Nemiga Gaming | 72c | 28.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Nemiga Gaming | 74c | 26.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Rune Eaters | 56c | 25.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 23.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Rune Eaters | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Nemiga Gaming | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Athis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 WinnerRune Eaters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.