Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9d73b0e4d69702fab1fc15070ca6188770aec3bdc1c76afc40a7054b679c4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Nemiga Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,312
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,312 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Rune Eaters | 45c | 684.38$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.63 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 644.8$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.54 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 622.75$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.97 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Rune Eaters | 20c | 363.44$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.03 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nemiga Gaming | 67c | 355.51$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.58 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 269.65$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.41 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Rune Eaters | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 186.1$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.94 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Nemiga Gaming | 55c | 175.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rune Eaters | 62c | 152.74$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nemiga Gaming | 59c | 132.55$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Nemiga Gaming | 58c | 115.16$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…df1dbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 95.56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ea…594fbacked Rune Eaters | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 159 | 42.8%68 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 56c | 78.24$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 254 | 57.9%147 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973a…52eabacked Nemiga Gaming | 42c | 68.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Nemiga Gaming | 64c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 56.81$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Rune Eaters | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 43.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed Nemiga Gaming | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 53c | 27.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…bdf9backed Nemiga Gaming | 78c | 27.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Nemiga Gaming | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 63c | 19.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group ARune Eaters won
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.