TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Eagles (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eaglesof Eagles, Giants
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$484,698
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$495,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,698 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Eagles48c156,757$75,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81,242.0286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e98…1f51backed Giants52c145,248$75,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,433.833652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Giants52c109,048$56,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,549.471936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Giants53c77,518$41,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,084.6117041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Eagles48c43,400$20,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,568.1924456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Eagles49c34,467$16,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,632.6631240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Eagles50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00013654.4%74 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Eagles47c19,471$9,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,284.9933553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Eagles48c16,196$7,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,422.2861148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Giants50c11,290$5,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,644.989944.4%44 W · 55 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Eagles47c10,904$5,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,779.125048%24 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Eagles47c10,000$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,35035848.6%174 W · 184 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Eagles47c10,000$4,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,30083147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Giants51c9,000$4,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,59051352.2%268 W · 245 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Eagles55c8,668$4,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,876.7547738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Eagles47c7,500$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,974.9914450%72 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Eagles50c7,083$3,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,508.741947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Eagles47c6,950$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,683.7331350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Eagles47c6,144$2,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,256.3224957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Giants50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ac…08d5backed Giants51c5,230$2,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,671.9912934.9%45 W · 84 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Giants2c4,830$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.2464747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Eagles47c4,768$2,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.0422950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Eagles49c4,592$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.833268.8%22 W · 10 L+5.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+27.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Eagles48c4,201$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.0341248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants50c3,911$1,955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,955.3860049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Giants52c3,850$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.9918435.9%66 W · 118 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Giants54c3,500$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8908551.8%44 W · 41 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x301e…3f91backed Eagles51c2,983$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,461.83683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+65.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Eagles46c1,584$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.1125956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants50c1,250$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62568446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eagles48c1,094$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.751,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3d…4ab1backed Giants51c1,031$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1c…2b46backed Eagles49c1,031$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.62100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea11…551abacked Eagles49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Eagles49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51010434.6%36 W · 68 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc030…7372backed Giants51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Eagles47c929.97$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.311,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked Eagles50c770$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fcb…08fbbacked Giants52c673.85$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8d7…c17bbacked Eagles47c550$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.511759.8%70 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Giants52c549.11$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.7683447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Giants52c545$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.420755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Giants50c539$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.525744.4%114 W · 143 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Giants51c510$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.16752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Giants53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed Giants53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016737.7%63 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Eagles50c438.96$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked Giants45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806540%26 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x00be…5acabacked Giants53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2124650%23 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Eagles47c313.32$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.0626648.9%130 W · 136 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Eagles47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1595939%23 W · 36 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-24.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x96bf…ba22backed Giants52c263.67$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.11825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Eagles50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1257751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe64…873ebacked Eagles49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.085154.9%28 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b20…25bbbacked Eagles49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183a…d514backed Giants51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10214355.2%79 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf1f4…7942backed Eagles50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9c7…2e39backed Giants52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f82…9ae1backed Giants56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Eagles48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788047.5%38 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7b3…f97cbacked Eagles50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557349.3%36 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x258e…d16cbacked Eagles47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.388747.1%41 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc91…ab50backed Eagles48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.172454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Giants52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.81752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb05e…4fcebacked Giants51c79.81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Giants27c77.36$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8132043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad21…cefcbacked Giants53c70$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376647%31 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Eagles80c68$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.913065.4%85 W · 45 L+17.2wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe611…0ae4backed Giants52c67.31$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356761.2%41 W · 26 L+7.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Eagles54c59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0948847.5%232 W · 256 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27ca…2c36backed Giants52c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…b18cbacked Eagles48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0816645.8%76 W · 90 L+9.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb225…d86bbacked Eagles48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.088956.2%50 W · 39 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Eagles48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2629751.5%153 W · 144 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa937…dbb1backed Giants54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.6wins-0.30per pick38cpaid-84.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8984…8af8backed Eagles49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8936…4891backed Giants53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252040%8 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b47…5286backed Eagles50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56637.9%25 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x722d…17fbbacked Eagles50c45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f5…009bbacked Giants52c44$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.88911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-79.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x41dc…1cf1backed Eagles48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x292a…66c1backed Giants51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants51c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.945139.2%20 W · 31 L-9.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-34.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd2e5…ebeabacked Giants52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019651.5%101 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a53…71c6backed Giants53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe318…3506backed Giants54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick64cpaid-40.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3327…11debacked Giants54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01b8…446abacked Eagles50c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Giants51c31.96$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3141450.5%209 W · 205 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Eagles44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.856852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x73b9…3ba6backed Eagles50c27.62$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.811776.5%13 W · 4 L+4.7wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+64.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Giants52c20.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.871560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Eagles51c20.02$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8118350.3%92 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a26…8acbbacked Eagles50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108631.4%27 W · 59 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4ef…682fbacked Giants53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-56.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x398a…95b7backed Giants52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411057.3%63 W · 47 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.