NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c47e6045ca3bb6515feb28091ad80aded9cc387f8f3049435eeb927fa6fad67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $142,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 103,629$50,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,981.33 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 51c | 39,152$19,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,376 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 51c | 23,729$12,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,627.19 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 50c | 19,985$10,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,932.6 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Over | 49c | 19,061$9,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,711.02 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 7,214$3,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,678.83 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 51c | 5,555$2,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,721.95 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 51c | 4,520$2,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.63 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 48c | 3,565$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.28 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 51c | 2,233$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.82 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.89 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 48c | 1,472$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.91 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 51c | 1,314$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.86 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 49c | 1,030$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.3 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Under | 51c | 687.37$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d7…c17bbacked Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 117 | 59.8%70 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…76b4backed Over | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Over | 49c | 269.08$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 51c | 214.37$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.11 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…99aebacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffc…bc9ebacked Over | 52c | 112.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ead…3381backed Under | 49c | 112.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 51c | 81.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5dd…b094backed Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x729e…1a7abacked Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2c…a85ebacked Over | 52c | 76.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c45…deecbacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 242 | 43.4%105 W · 137 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…022ebacked Under | 49c | 47.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 53c | 47.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…4891backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5this page
- Giants vs. EaglesEagles won
- Giants vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 41.5Over won
- Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5Over won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.