NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22bcf8242a39199e12daa71a341bca8ef1014a3320dff38c92f4633b258d7d76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,212
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 53c | 50,315$26,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,890.94 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Over | 47c | 14,709$6,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,795.87 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 46c | 13,466$6,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,271.89 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 48c | 5,452$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,852.13 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Over | 47c | 4,121$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,184.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 3,062$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.97 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 53c | 1,611$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.68 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Under | 53c | 1,239$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.46 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 45c | 1,122$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.1 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 47c | 865.56$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.75 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd798…b210backed Over | 47c | 600$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb9…dfa7backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 46c | 483.91$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.31 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Over | 45c | 470.58$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.82 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…35e1backed Under | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 54c | 113.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3f…4f9cbacked Under | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…0ae4backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…ab50backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…de85backed Under | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 47c | 55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 47c | 50.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 414 | 50.5%209 W · 205 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…b8a4backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x421e…4d4dbacked Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5this page
- Giants vs. EaglesEagles won
- Giants vs. Eagles: 1H O/U 21.5Over won
- Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 41.5Over won
- Giants vs. Eagles: O/U 43.5Over won
- Spread: Eagles (-7.5)Eagles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.